Stock Analysis

Results: NETSTREIT Corp. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

NYSE:NTST
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NETSTREIT Corp. (NYSE:NTST) just released its latest full-year results and things are looking bullish. NETSTREIT beat earnings, with revenues hitting US$59m, ahead of expectations, and statutory earnings per share outperforming analyst reckonings by a solid 18%. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for NETSTREIT

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NYSE:NTST Earnings and Revenue Growth February 28th 2022

Following the latest results, NETSTREIT's four analysts are now forecasting revenues of US$86.1m in 2022. This would be a huge 46% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to surge 171% to US$0.15. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$78.5m and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.23 in 2022. While next year's revenue estimates increased, there was also a pretty serious reduction to EPS expectations, suggesting the consensus has a bit of a mixed view of these results.

The consensus price target was unchanged at US$26.78, suggesting the business is performing roughly in line with expectations, despite some adjustments to profit and revenue forecasts. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values NETSTREIT at US$32.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$23.00. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The period to the end of 2022 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 46% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 40% annual growth over the past three years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 7.3% annually. So although NETSTREIT is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's definitely expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for NETSTREIT. Pleasantly, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and their forecasts suggest the business is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple NETSTREIT analysts - going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.

You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for NETSTREIT you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if NETSTREIT might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.