Modiv Industrial, Inc.

NYSE:MDV Stock Report

Market Cap: US$159.5m

Modiv Industrial Valuation

Is MDV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MDV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MDV ($14.94) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($21.37)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MDV is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MDV?

Key metric: As MDV is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for MDV. This is calculated by dividing MDV's market cap by their current revenue.
What is MDV's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio3x
SalesUS$47.42m
Market CapUS$159.45m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MDV's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MDV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.6x
LVVP Lightstone Value Plus REIT V
2.2xn/aUS$110.6m
PINE Alpine Income Property Trust
4.8x4.7%US$251.2m
FREV.S First Real Estate Investment Trust of New Jersey
4.5xn/aUS$128.0m
MKZR MacKenzie Realty Capital
3.1xn/aUS$52.6m
MDV Modiv Industrial
3x2.0%US$159.5m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MDV is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3x) compared to the peer average (3.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does MDV's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US REITs Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BSTT Blackstone Real Estate Income Trust
0.06xn/aUS$527.97m
PDNL.B Presidential Realty
0.001xn/aUS$15.14k
No more companies available in this PS range
MDV 3.0xIndustry Avg. 3.3xNo. of Companies6PS0246810+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MDV is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3x) compared to the US REITs industry average (3.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MDV's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MDV PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3x
Fair PS Ratio3.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: MDV is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MDV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$14.94
US$18.75
+25.5%
4.4%US$20.00US$18.00n/a4
Dec ’25US$16.02
US$18.75
+17.0%
4.4%US$20.00US$18.00n/a4
Nov ’25US$16.80
US$17.75
+5.7%
2.4%US$18.00US$17.00n/a4
Oct ’25US$16.15
US$17.75
+9.9%
2.4%US$18.00US$17.00n/a4
Sep ’25US$16.64
US$17.75
+6.7%
2.4%US$18.00US$17.00n/a4
Aug ’25US$14.81
US$17.75
+19.9%
2.4%US$18.00US$17.00n/a4
Jul ’25US$13.89
US$17.75
+27.8%
2.4%US$18.00US$17.00n/a4
Jun ’25US$15.17
US$17.75
+17.0%
2.4%US$18.00US$17.00n/a4
May ’25US$14.90
US$17.75
+19.1%
2.4%US$18.00US$17.00n/a4
Apr ’25US$16.54
US$17.17
+3.8%
3.6%US$18.00US$16.50n/a3
Mar ’25US$15.39
US$16.83
+9.4%
5.0%US$18.00US$16.00n/a3
Feb ’25US$14.70
US$16.83
+14.5%
5.0%US$18.00US$16.00n/a3
Jan ’25US$14.90
US$16.83
+13.0%
5.0%US$18.00US$16.00n/a3
Dec ’24US$15.28
US$16.83
+10.2%
5.0%US$18.00US$16.00US$16.023
Nov ’24US$15.36
US$16.00
+4.2%
5.1%US$17.00US$15.00US$16.803
Oct ’24US$16.69
US$15.67
-6.1%
6.0%US$17.00US$15.00US$16.153
Sep ’24US$12.75
US$15.67
+22.9%
6.0%US$17.00US$15.00US$16.643
Aug ’24US$13.16
US$16.13
+22.5%
5.5%US$17.00US$15.00US$14.814
Jul ’24US$15.00
US$16.13
+7.5%
5.5%US$17.00US$15.00US$13.894
Jun ’24US$14.63
US$16.50
+12.8%
6.6%US$18.00US$15.00US$15.175
May ’24US$10.70
US$16.20
+51.4%
9.1%US$18.00US$14.00US$14.905
Apr ’24US$10.63
US$16.20
+52.4%
9.1%US$18.00US$14.00US$16.545
Mar ’24US$12.09
US$16.30
+34.8%
9.8%US$18.50US$14.00US$15.395
Feb ’24US$12.69
US$16.70
+31.6%
11.6%US$19.00US$14.00US$14.705
Jan ’24US$12.00
US$16.60
+38.3%
12.5%US$19.00US$13.50US$14.905
Dec ’23US$16.10
US$16.60
+3.1%
12.5%US$19.00US$13.50US$15.285

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/30 06:52
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/30 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Modiv Industrial, Inc. is covered by 5 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Gaurav MehtaAlliance Global Partners
Bryan MaherB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Barry OxfordColliers Securities