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Updated 1d ago
CTO logo

CTO Realty Growth, Inc.NYSE:CTO Stock Report

Market Cap US$805.6m
Updated 1d ago
Share Price
n/a
1Y25.7%
7D-0.1%
1D-0.4%
Portfolio Value
​
View

CTO Realty Growth, Inc.

NYSE:CTO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$805.6m

  • Company Overview
  • Valuation
  • Future Growth
  • Past Performance
  • Financial Health
  • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

CTO Realty Growth (CTO) Stock Overview

A publicly traded real estate investment trust. More details

CTO fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation3/6
Future Growth0/6
Past Performance1/6
Financial Health1/6
Dividends6/6

Rewards

Trading at 73.4% below our estimate of its fair value

Became profitable this year

Pays a high and reliable dividend of 7.1%

Risk Analysis

Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 54.7% per year for the next 3 years

Interest payments are not well covered by earnings

Large one-off items impacting financial results


CTO Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 22 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
7.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•2mo ago

Sunbelt Demographics And Re-tenanting Will Deliver Lasting Leasing Success

81
0
17

Top Analyst Narratives

CTO logo
CTO Realty Growth
7.0% undervalued intrinsic discount

Sunbelt Demographics And Re-tenanting Will Deliver Lasting Leasing Success

View narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
AnalystConsensusTarget
Updated 25 Jun
Read Narrative
View all narratives

CTO Realty Growth, Inc. Competitors

Gladstone Commercial

Symbol: NasdaqGS:GOOD
Market cap: US$634.2m

Alpine Income Property Trust

Symbol: NYSE:PINE
Market cap: US$366.1m

American Assets Trust

Symbol: NYSE:AAT
Market cap: US$1.7b

Hines Global Income Trust

Symbol: OTCPK:HGIT
Market cap: US$3.0b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for CTO Realty Growth
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$21.40
52 Week HighUS$22.71
52 Week LowUS$15.07
Beta0.63
1 Month Change-0.33%
3 Month Change2.74%
1 Year Change25.73%
3 Year Change28.45%
5 Year Change17.67%
Change since IPO644.35%

Recent News & Updates

Seeking Alpha • Aug 28

Why We Own CTO Realty Growth Rather Than Alpine

Summary CTO Realty Growth offers superior value versus Alpine Income Property Trust, driven by sustainable organic growth and a likely multiple re-rating. CTO trades at 10.6x AFFO with an estimated 5% annual growth, while PINE trades at 9.4x AFFO with slower, less repeatable 2% growth. CTO’s internally managed structure and shopping center focus support a forward return estimate of 11.9%, compared to PINE’s 8.4%. CTO’s rent roll-ups and potential sector reclassification position it for multiple expansions, making it the more attractive investment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Aug 28

Why We Own CTO Realty Growth Rather Than Alpine

Summary CTO Realty Growth offers superior value versus Alpine Income Property Trust, driven by sustainable organic growth and a likely multiple re-rating. CTO trades at 10.6x AFFO with an estimated 5% annual growth, while PINE trades at 9.4x AFFO with slower, less repeatable 2% growth. CTO’s internally managed structure and shopping center focus support a forward return estimate of 11.9%, compared to PINE’s 8.4%. CTO’s rent roll-ups and potential sector reclassification position it for multiple expansions, making it the more attractive investment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 25

CTO: Steady Fair Value And 2026 Guidance Will Shape Future Returns

Analysts kept their fair value estimate for CTO Realty Growth steady at $23.00, citing largely unchanged assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E in their updated price target work. What’s in the News for CTO Realty Growth Reported completion of a share repurchase program announced on September 24, 2025, with a total of 307,563 shares bought back, representing 0.94% of shares, for US$5 million.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 08

CTO: Stable 2026 Earnings Outlook Will Support Further Upside Potential

Analysts have kept their price target for CTO Realty Growth steady at $23.00, reflecting largely unchanged views on fair value, discount rate, growth and profit margin assumptions. What's in the News CTO Realty Growth issued revised unaudited earnings guidance for 2026, with expected Net Income Attributable to the Company per Common Share, Diluted, in a range of $0.53 to $0.59.
User avatar
Narrative Update • May 17

CTO: Texas Retail Acquisition And Higher 2026 Earnings Guidance Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts have raised their price target on CTO Realty Growth from $22.50 to $23.00, citing updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that refine their overall view of the stock's risk and earnings profile. What's in the News CTO Realty Growth revised unaudited 2026 earnings guidance, with expected diluted net income per common share of $0.53 to $0.59, updating a prior range issued earlier in the year (company guidance).
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 30

CTO: Fair Outlook Balances Texas Expansion With Revised 2026 Earnings Guidance

Analysts have adjusted their price target on CTO Realty Growth from $21.08 to $22.50, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate, expected revenue growth, profit margins and the P/E they apply to future earnings. What's in the News Issued revised unaudited 2026 guidance for Net Income Attributable to the Company per Common Share, Diluted, in a range of $0.53 to $0.59 (company guidance).
Seeking Alpha • Mar 10

CTO Realty Growth: One Of My Favorite REITs Because Of Growth Potential

Summary CTO Realty Growth is a standout REIT with a focus on high-quality, multi-tenant assets in economically strong areas, showing significant revenue and EBITDA growth. CTO trades at a discount to book value, offers a nearly 8% dividend yield, and has a high occupancy rate exceeding 93%. Risks include sensitivity to interest rates and regional economic dependence, but potential Fed rate cuts could lower borrowing costs and boost property values. CTO's strong investment strategy, attractive valuations, and forward growth potential make it a compelling investment, with projections for substantial future acquisitions and NOI growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 08

CTO Realty: Relative Value Is In Store

Summary CTO Realty Growth, Inc. shows robust growth with a 96% occupancy rate, $91.4 million annualized base rent, and a significant portfolio expansion to 4.6 million square feet. The REIT's valuation metrics, including a forward P/FFO ratio of 10.55x and an 8% dividend yield, indicate compelling relative value. Despite an elevated net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 6.4x, CTO's strong lease spreads, NOI growth, and $200 million liquidity suggest solid debt repayment capabilities. In our view, its material risks include potential re-inflation and geopolitical uncertainties, which could impact interest rates, asset valuations, and financing costs. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 06

CTO Realty: Long Growth Runway And Valuation Make Them A Buy

Summary CTO Realty Growth presents a compelling buy opportunity with a forward P/AFFO multiple of 10.34x, well below the sector median of 17.04x. The REIT's strong growth potential is supported by strategic acquisitions in high-growth Sun Belt markets and a significant increase in investment activity. Despite higher leverage, management's efforts to deleverage and a solid balance sheet support future growth, with raised FFO and AFFO guidance for 2024. While the REIT has a riskier tenant profile, its attractive valuation and potential for capital appreciation make it a strong buy for long-term investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 25

CTO Realty Growth: Exceeding A 7.5% Yield And Still Impressing Me

Summary CTO Realty Growth has appreciated 14.31% YTD, focusing on quality over quantity in high-growth markets like Florida and Georgia, benefiting from population migration trends. Q3 earnings beat estimates with $31.81 million in revenue and $0.50 FFO, showcasing strong performance and strategic portfolio upgrades, including multi-tenant and grocery-anchored properties. Despite risks like competition and macroeconomic factors, CTO's dividend yield exceeds 7.5%, and it's trading below book value, offering significant upside potential. With a market cap to EBITDA multiple of 8.19x and a 7.67% dividend yield, CTO remains undervalued compared to peers, making it a compelling investment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 15

CTO Realty Growth: Strong Q3 Performance With Robust Dividend Yield

Summary CTO Realty Growth, Inc. has been expanding aggressively since 2019, achieving robust revenue and net income growth, making it an excellent choice for real estate diversification. CTO's third quarter 2024 performance highlights a 22% CAGR, significant investments, and strategic asset monetization, showcasing its adaptability and growth-oriented approach. CTO's valuation metrics, including a 7.72% dividend yield and strong cash flow ratios, underscore its potential for income generation and capital appreciation. Despite risks like rising interest rates and long-term debt, CTO's conservative debt management and strategic investments position it well for long-term stability and growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 23

CTO Realty Growth: Cheaply Valued With High Dividend Yield And Growth Potential

Summary CTO Realty Growth pays a high dividend yield and is ideally located in some of the fastest-growing regions in the U.S. The company's diversified portfolio and proactive management have positioned it well for continued growth in the commercial real estate sector. A smaller size REIT, it's also cheaply valued and could potentially make use of very strong tailwinds as it grows alongside its main markets. Investors are encouraged to consider CTO for its stability, income potential, and growth prospects in a fluctuating market. I'm Mapache Investing, I look for well placed companies that offer high dividends and are strongly positioned in high growth markets, providing assymetrical opportunities for both income and capital appreciation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 14

Retail Therapy For Your Portfolio: CTO Realty's 8.1% Yield Packs A Punch

Summary CTO Realty Growth, Inc. offers an 8.1% dividend yield, attractive valuation, and potential for capital gains, making it appealing for income-focused investors. The company benefits from strong occupancy rates, favorable market dynamics, and a growing portfolio, but its small size and higher leverage warrant caution. Despite elevated leverage, CTO Realty maintains a healthy balance sheet with a well-laddered maturity schedule and no exposure to floating interest rates. For those willing to embrace some risk, CTO's combination of solid growth expectations and a lofty dividend could deliver elevated returns over the coming years. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
New Narrative • Sep 24

Leasing Triumphs And Strategic Shifts Promise Growth, Yet Analysts Forecast Shrinking Margins And High Debt Risks

A shift towards a more attractive tenant mix and strategic dispositions indicates a focus on quality and growth in earnings and portfolio.
Seeking Alpha • Sep 15

CTO Realty Growth: I'm Buying The Commons For The 8% Dividend Yield

Summary CTO Realty Growth has kept its quarterly dividend stable and currently offers a fully covered 8% dividend yield. The retail REIT is trading at a price-to-free cash flow multiple of 9.71x, below its historical range. Fed rate cuts will deliver a huge boost to investor sentiment and the REIT's multiple. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 17

CTO Realty Growth: Growth To Resume In H2 2024 (Maintain Buy)

Summary CTO Q2 earnings report shows modest growth and limited investment activity, with a 2% same property NOI growth. Despite a decline in Core FFO and AFFO, management's guidance raise and increased investment activity outlook are well-received by the market. CTO common and preferred shares are still viewed as attractive, with potential upside to NAV and strong yields, despite risks such as delays in rate cuts and share issuances. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Aug 09

CTO Realty Growth: A Discounted Way To Play The Retail Boom

Summary CTO Realty Growth is a retail REIT with strong leasing prospects, trading at a discounted 11X AFFO multiple and 7.5% dividend yield. Retail real estate is gaining respect as a growth play, leading to potential upside for retail REITs like CTO. CTO's property portfolio and leasing prospects show potential for revenue growth and increased occupancy, with a fair value estimate of $25.50 per share. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 30

CTO Realty Growth: Yields 7.75%, Increased Guidance, Trades At Discount To Book

Summary CTO Realty Growth benefits from high-income earners moving to Sun Belt states with lower tax rates, leading to potential growth opportunities. CTO delivered a strong Q2, beating revenue and FFO estimates, increasing guidance, and positioning well for future investments and profitability. Despite underperforming the market, CTO offers value with a discount to book value, attractive profitability metrics, and a high dividend yield of 7.75%. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 16

CTO Realty: Long-Term Revenue And FFO Growth Make It Buy

Summary CTO is an equity REIT, which buys and manages high-quality retail properties located in business-friendly and growing markets. Long-term revenue and FFO growth, along with increasing dividends, make CTO an attractive investment option. CTO Realty Growth, Inc. could see FFO growth in 2024 due to recent acquisitions and new team members. I think that the recent asset recycling that took place in 2024 could bring new cash to reinvest in new properties. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jun 19

CTO Realty: A Good Fit For Dividend Portfolios With An Attractive Valuation

Summary CTO Realty Growth, Inc. is a REIT that owns and manages retail and mixed-use properties. The company has a long history dating back over 110 years, transitioning from a land-focused company to an income-oriented REIT. The portfolio is well diversified and the business conservatively financed. The current price makes for a very attractive dividend yield and a decent margin of safety. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article • Jun 14

We Think Some Shareholders May Hesitate To Increase CTO Realty Growth, Inc.'s (NYSE:CTO) CEO Compensation

Key Insights CTO Realty Growth's Annual General Meeting to take place on 20th of June Salary of US$640.7k is part of...

Shareholder Returns

CTOUS REITsUS Market
7D-0.1%-1.2%-0.2%
1Y25.7%1.3%14.8%

Return vs Industry: CTO exceeded the US REITs industry which returned 2.2% over the past year.

Return vs Market: CTO exceeded the US Market which returned 15.5% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is CTO's price volatile compared to industry and market?
CTO volatility
CTO Average Weekly Movement2.5%
REITs Industry Average Movement2.9%
Market Average Movement6.9%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market15.5%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.9%

Stable Share Price: CTO has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: CTO's weekly volatility (2%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
190242John Albrightwww.ctoreit.com

CTO Realty Growth, Inc. is a publicly traded real estate investment trust. The firm owns and operates a portfolio of high-quality, retail-based properties located primarily in higher growth markets in the United States. CTO also externally manages and owns a meaningful interest in Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc., a publicly traded net lease REIT.

CTO Realty Growth, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do CTO Realty Growth's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
CTO fundamental statistics
Market capUS$805.56m
Earnings (TTM)US$45.05m
Revenue (TTM)US$161.10m
17.8x
P/E Ratio
5.0x
P/S Ratio

Is CTO overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
CTO income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$161.10m
Cost of RevenueUS$40.98m
Gross ProfitUS$120.12m
Other ExpensesUS$75.07m
EarningsUS$45.05m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)1.20
Gross Margin74.56%
Net Profit Margin27.97%
Debt/Equity Ratio99.3%

How did CTO perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

7.1%
Current Dividend Yield
85%
Payout Ratio

Does CTO pay a reliable dividends?

See CTO dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy CTO by to receive an upcoming dividend?
CTO Realty Growth dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateSep 10 2026
Dividend Pay DateSep 30 2026
Days until Ex dividend1 day
Days until Dividend pay date19 days

Does CTO pay a reliable dividends?

See CTO dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/09 09:32
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/09 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

CTO Realty Growth, Inc. is covered by 7 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Gaurav MehtaAlliance Global Partners
Jay KornreichCantor Fitzgerald & Co.
Matthew ErdnerJonesTrading Institutional Services, LLC

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