Is Apple Hospitality REIT (APLE) Undervalued After Its Recent Share Price Pullback?

Simply Wall St

Apple Hospitality REIT (APLE) has been grinding through a mixed stretch, with the stock down this year but up over the past month, which naturally raises a key question for income-focused investors: is this pullback creating value or signaling deeper concerns?

See our latest analysis for Apple Hospitality REIT.

Recent trading has been choppy, with the share price at around $11.78 after a year to date share price return of negative 22.19 percent. The five year total shareholder return of 17.56 percent suggests long term momentum has been more resilient than the recent setback implies.

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With a sizable intrinsic discount but only modest growth and a middling value score, is Apple Hospitality REIT quietly trading below its true worth, or is the market already factoring in all the future upside?

Most Popular Narrative: 9.4% Undervalued

Apple Hospitality REIT's most followed narrative points to a fair value of about $13 per share, modestly above the recent $11.78 close. This hints at a muted, efficiency driven upside story rather than a high growth bet.

The analysts have a consensus price target of $13.6 for Apple Hospitality REIT based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $15.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $12.0.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to see what really underpins that valuation gap? This narrative leans on slow but steady revenue expansion, resilient margins, and a richer future earnings multiple. Curious which assumptions do the heavy lifting in that fair value math? Read on to uncover the levers behind the target price without the market noise.

Result: Fair Value of $13 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, Apple Hospitality's disciplined acquisitions and share repurchases could unlock stronger earnings and margins than expected, which may challenge the modest upside implied by current forecasts.

Find out about the key risks to this Apple Hospitality REIT narrative.

Build Your Own Apple Hospitality REIT Narrative

If you see the story differently or want to dig into the numbers yourself, you can build a custom view in just minutes: Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Apple Hospitality REIT research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Apple Hospitality REIT might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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