Stock Analysis

Is LB’s Data Center Venture a Smart Long-Term Diversification Move?

  • NRG Energy announced it has entered into an agreement with LandBridge Company LLC to explore development of a data center site in Reeves County, Texas, with air permit and electric interconnection applications already underway and potential operations targeted for late 2029.
  • This collaboration signals LandBridge's growing role in digital infrastructure, as it leverages its Permian Basin land holdings for new technology-driven opportunities.
  • We'll examine how LandBridge's entry into data center development could impact its long-term diversification and earnings stability story.

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LandBridge Investment Narrative Recap

To be a LandBridge shareholder today, you need to believe in the long-term value of its Permian Basin land and its ability to unlock new recurring revenue streams as energy and digital infrastructure converge. While the NRG Energy data center agreement spotlights further diversification, it does not change the most important near-term catalyst, continued execution on renewable and infrastructure partnerships, or the biggest risk, which remains the company’s regional concentration and slow transition beyond oil and gas.

The agreement with NRG Energy, aiming to develop a data center site backed by a potential 1,100 MW power facility, closely aligns with LandBridge’s efforts to capture non-oil revenue but follows the same long timelines and regulatory hurdles facing other key diversification projects. Execution risks, especially around project delays or sector adoption, still loom as critical factors for investors focused on stability and growth.

By contrast, investors should be aware that LandBridge’s concentrated Permian presence leaves it exposed if regional energy or policy conditions shift suddenly...

Read the full narrative on LandBridge (it's free!)

LandBridge's narrative projects $321.7 million in revenue and $184.1 million in earnings by 2028. This requires 27.2% yearly revenue growth and an increase of $118.8 million in earnings from the current $65.3 million.

Uncover how LandBridge's forecasts yield a $69.43 fair value, a 23% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

LB Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
LB Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Six members of the Simply Wall St Community estimate LandBridge’s fair value between US$50 and US$98.31 per share. The company’s efforts to drive recurring fee revenue highlight how a single outlook may miss key shifts, so consider multiple viewpoints before forming your own conclusion.

Explore 6 other fair value estimates on LandBridge - why the stock might be worth 12% less than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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