Stock Analysis

Investor Optimism Abounds Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. (NYSE:HHH) But Growth Is Lacking

NYSE:HHH
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.4x Howard Hughes Holdings Inc. (NYSE:HHH) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all Real Estate companies in the United States have P/S ratios under 2.6x and even P/S lower than 0.6x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Howard Hughes Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:HHH Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 6th 2024

How Has Howard Hughes Holdings Performed Recently?

Howard Hughes Holdings could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to undergo a reversal of fortunes, which has elevated the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Howard Hughes Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Howard Hughes Holdings?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Howard Hughes Holdings would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Although pleasingly revenue has lifted 43% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, shareholders will be pleased, but also have some questions to ponder about the last 12 months.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 18% as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 17% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it interesting that Howard Hughes Holdings is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

The Final Word

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Seeing as its revenues are forecast to grow in line with the wider industry, it would appear that Howard Hughes Holdings currently trades on a higher than expected P/S. When we see revenue growth that just matches the industry, we don't expect elevates P/S figures to remain inflated for the long-term. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Having said that, be aware Howard Hughes Holdings is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Howard Hughes Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.