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The three-year underlying earnings growth at Cushman & Wakefield (NYSE:CWK) is promising, but the shareholders are still in the red over that time
In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Cushman & Wakefield plc (NYSE:CWK) shareholders, since the share price is down 39% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 36%. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 13% in the last 90 days.
After losing 4.9% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.
See our latest analysis for Cushman & Wakefield
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
During five years of share price growth, Cushman & Wakefield moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. So it's worth looking at other metrics to try to understand the share price move.
The company has kept revenue pretty healthy over the last three years, so we doubt that explains the falling share price. There doesn't seem to be any clear correlation between the fundamental business metrics and the share price. That could mean that the stock was previously overrated, or it could spell opportunity now.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
We know that Cushman & Wakefield has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Cushman & Wakefield
A Different Perspective
It's good to see that Cushman & Wakefield has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 31% in the last twelve months. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 6% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Cushman & Wakefield (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:CWK
Cushman & Wakefield
Provides commercial real estate services under the Cushman & Wakefield brand in the United States, Australia, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
Reasonable growth potential and fair value.