Novo Nordisk Valuation

Is NONO.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NONO.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NONO.F ($123.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($129.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NONO.F is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NONO.F?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

NONO.F key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue16.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA35.2x
PEG Ratio3.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NONO.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NONO.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average55.6x
LLY Eli Lilly
124.6x27.2%US$652.9b
JNJ Johnson & Johnson
18.5x5.1%US$353.8b
PFE Pfizer
67x22.3%US$143.0b
BMY Bristol-Myers Squibb
12.3x9.9%US$99.3b
NONO.F Novo Nordisk
46.2x14.7%US$3.9t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NONO.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.2x) compared to the peer average (48.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NONO.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Pharmaceuticals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a22.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a22.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NONO.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.2x) compared to the US Pharmaceuticals industry average (20.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NONO.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NONO.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio46.2x
Fair PE Ratio46x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NONO.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NONO.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$124.64
US$129.73
+4.1%
19.4%US$160.69US$76.04n/a25
Apr ’25US$129.20
US$128.80
-0.3%
19.6%US$161.31US$76.34n/a25
Mar ’25US$123.71
US$114.16
-7.7%
24.1%US$141.77US$20.36n/a24
Feb ’25US$115.39
US$107.60
-6.7%
24.7%US$138.54US$20.42n/a24
Jan ’25US$102.50
US$100.98
-1.5%
27.4%US$128.17US$17.58n/a23
Dec ’24US$101.50
US$99.24
-2.2%
27.2%US$127.69US$17.51n/a23
Nov ’24US$96.04
US$96.78
+0.8%
21.1%US$116.82US$50.98n/a22
Oct ’24US$91.08
US$91.96
+1.0%
19.7%US$114.82US$51.03n/a22
Sep ’24US$93.08
US$89.96
-3.4%
18.1%US$112.76US$52.38n/a22
Aug ’24US$79.80
US$88.01
+10.3%
15.8%US$109.43US$54.34n/a23
Jul ’24US$80.88
US$84.84
+4.9%
16.2%US$106.22US$52.75n/a22
Jun ’24US$79.31
US$82.76
+4.4%
16.8%US$104.44US$51.86n/a22
May ’24US$83.25
US$82.24
-1.2%
19.5%US$106.66US$50.02n/a22
Apr ’24US$78.70
US$73.72
-6.3%
18.6%US$89.51US$49.09US$129.2022
Mar ’24US$70.75
US$70.18
-0.8%
17.0%US$87.43US$48.73US$123.7123
Feb ’24US$68.79
US$69.44
+1.0%
18.3%US$87.65US$39.44US$115.3923
Jan ’24US$68.26
US$64.14
-6.0%
15.4%US$77.40US$38.52US$102.5023
Dec ’23US$61.79
US$61.74
-0.09%
15.9%US$76.77US$38.21US$101.5024
Nov ’23US$54.31
US$56.99
+4.9%
15.6%US$71.62US$36.15US$96.0425
Oct ’23US$49.30
US$54.71
+11.0%
16.5%US$67.07US$35.33US$91.0826
Sep ’23US$51.05
US$55.51
+8.7%
16.3%US$68.69US$36.19US$93.0826
Aug ’23US$58.27
US$56.75
-2.6%
16.9%US$70.30US$37.03US$79.8026
Jul ’23US$56.43
US$57.52
+1.9%
16.3%US$71.10US$38.20US$80.8826
Jun ’23US$54.47
US$57.42
+5.4%
17.5%US$72.51US$38.96US$79.3126
May ’23US$56.25
US$54.31
-3.5%
17.3%US$68.07US$38.29US$83.2524
Apr ’23US$56.86
US$52.78
-7.2%
15.2%US$66.94US$36.44US$78.7024

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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