Stock Analysis

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.'s (NYSE:TMO) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

NYSE:TMO
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When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 19x, you may consider Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. (NYSE:TMO) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 32.7x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Thermo Fisher Scientific has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Thermo Fisher Scientific

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:TMO Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 13th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Thermo Fisher Scientific.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

Thermo Fisher Scientific's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 4.6% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, lamentably EPS has fallen 26% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 12% per annum over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 11% growth each year, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.

In light of this, it's curious that Thermo Fisher Scientific's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Thermo Fisher Scientific currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Thermo Fisher Scientific has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Thermo Fisher Scientific might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.