Stock Analysis

Elanco Animal Health Incorporated (NYSE:ELAN) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

NYSE:ELAN
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You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.7x Elanco Animal Health Incorporated (NYSE:ELAN) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Pharmaceuticals companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 3.2x and even P/S higher than 20x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Elanco Animal Health

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:ELAN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 1st 2024

How Has Elanco Animal Health Performed Recently?

Elanco Animal Health could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Elanco Animal Health.

How Is Elanco Animal Health's Revenue Growth Trending?

Elanco Animal Health's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 3.8%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 50% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 3.1% each year during the coming three years according to the nine analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 57% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Elanco Animal Health is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What Does Elanco Animal Health's P/S Mean For Investors?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Elanco Animal Health's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Elanco Animal Health that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Elanco Animal Health might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.