Elanco Animal Health Incorporated

NYSE:ELAN Stock Report

Market Cap: US$6.6b

Elanco Animal Health Valuation

Is ELAN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ELAN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ELAN ($13.44) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($42.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ELAN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ELAN?

Key metric: As ELAN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ELAN. This is calculated by dividing ELAN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ELAN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio32.4x
EarningsUS$205.00m
Market CapUS$6.58b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ELAN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ELAN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20x
JAZZ Jazz Pharmaceuticals
15.6x16.7%US$7.1b
OGN Organon
2.9x-7.1%US$3.8b
PBH Prestige Consumer Healthcare
19.8x5.3%US$4.1b
CORT Corcept Therapeutics
41.8x41.0%US$5.7b
ELAN Elanco Animal Health
32.4x2.7%US$6.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ELAN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.4x) compared to the peer average (20x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ELAN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Pharmaceuticals Industry?

12 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
OGN Organon
2.9x-7.1%US$3.76b
NDOI Endo
0.6xn/aUS$1.91b
PROC Procaps Group
1.2xn/aUS$59.68m
KPRX Kiora Pharmaceuticals
1.8x-40.4%US$9.59m
ELAN 32.4xIndustry Avg. 20.1xNo. of Companies12PE01224364860+
12 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ELAN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.4x) compared to the US Pharmaceuticals industry average (19.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ELAN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ELAN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio32.4x
Fair PE Ratio21x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ELAN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ELAN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$13.44
US$17.84
+32.8%
11.9%US$20.00US$14.00n/a11
Nov ’25US$12.60
US$18.33
+45.4%
10.1%US$20.00US$15.00n/a10
Oct ’25US$14.50
US$18.63
+28.5%
11.5%US$22.00US$15.00n/a10
Sep ’25US$15.47
US$18.73
+21.0%
9.2%US$21.00US$16.00n/a10
Aug ’25US$13.04
US$18.93
+45.1%
10.4%US$22.00US$16.00n/a10
Jul ’25US$14.10
US$19.30
+36.9%
13.8%US$23.00US$16.00n/a11
Jun ’25US$17.68
US$19.21
+8.6%
13.0%US$23.00US$16.00n/a11
May ’25US$13.15
US$17.76
+35.0%
11.1%US$20.00US$14.00n/a12
Apr ’25US$15.97
US$17.09
+7.0%
16.4%US$20.00US$11.00n/a11
Mar ’25US$16.03
US$16.27
+1.5%
18.2%US$20.00US$11.00n/a11
Feb ’25US$14.79
US$15.77
+6.6%
17.8%US$20.00US$11.00n/a11
Jan ’25US$14.90
US$13.80
-7.4%
17.7%US$18.00US$10.00n/a10
Dec ’24US$12.40
US$13.33
+7.5%
17.7%US$18.00US$10.00n/a9
Nov ’24US$8.63
US$13.28
+53.9%
20.0%US$18.00US$9.50US$12.609
Oct ’24US$11.24
US$14.06
+25.1%
19.0%US$19.00US$9.50US$14.508
Sep ’24US$12.39
US$13.94
+12.5%
19.7%US$19.00US$9.50US$15.478
Aug ’24US$11.97
US$13.19
+10.2%
25.4%US$19.00US$8.50US$13.048
Jul ’24US$10.06
US$13.19
+31.1%
25.4%US$19.00US$8.50US$14.108
Jun ’24US$8.60
US$13.19
+53.3%
25.4%US$19.00US$8.50US$17.688
May ’24US$9.60
US$13.63
+41.9%
21.4%US$19.00US$9.00US$13.158
Apr ’24US$9.40
US$15.06
+60.2%
20.9%US$20.00US$10.50US$15.978
Mar ’24US$11.26
US$15.44
+37.1%
19.0%US$20.00US$10.50US$16.038
Feb ’24US$14.06
US$16.75
+19.1%
15.1%US$20.00US$12.00US$14.798
Jan ’24US$12.22
US$17.25
+41.2%
18.7%US$23.00US$12.00US$14.908
Dec ’23US$13.19
US$17.38
+31.7%
18.4%US$23.00US$12.00US$12.408
Nov ’23US$13.28
US$20.63
+55.3%
7.2%US$23.00US$18.00US$8.638

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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