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The 13% return this week takes Emergent BioSolutions' (NYSE:EBS) shareholders one-year gains to 285%
Unfortunately, investing is risky - companies can and do go bankrupt. But if you pick the right stock, you can make a lot more than 100%. For example, the Emergent BioSolutions Inc. (NYSE:EBS) share price has soared 285% in the last 1 year. Most would be very happy with that, especially in just one year! And in the last week the share price has popped 13%. In contrast, the longer term returns are negative, since the share price is 81% lower than it was three years ago.
After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.
See our latest analysis for Emergent BioSolutions
Emergent BioSolutions wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.
In the last year Emergent BioSolutions saw its revenue grow by 2.0%. That's not a very high growth rate considering it doesn't make profits. So we wouldn't have expected the share price to rise by 285%. The business will need a lot more growth to justify that increase. We're not so sure that revenue growth is driving the market optimism about the stock.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
A Different Perspective
It's nice to see that Emergent BioSolutions shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 285% over the last year. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 13% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Emergent BioSolutions you should be aware of.
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Emergent BioSolutions might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:EBS
Emergent BioSolutions
A life sciences company, provides preparedness and response solutions for accidental, deliberate, and naturally occurring public health threats in the United States.
Undervalued with moderate growth potential.