Stock Analysis

Xencor (XNCR) Is Up 7.1% After Ultomiris Royalty Patent Extension - What's Changed

  • Xencor, Inc. recently announced that the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office issued U.S. Patent 12,492,253, extending protection for its Xtend Fc domain used to prolong the half-life of antibodies targeting C5 through December 2028.
  • This extension lengthens the U.S. royalty term for Ultomiris by around three years, enhancing visibility on a key royalty stream that Xencor expects will help fund its internal pipeline and innovation efforts.
  • We’ll now examine how the extended Ultomiris royalty horizon could reshape Xencor’s investment narrative and its path to funding innovation.

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Xencor Investment Narrative Recap

To own Xencor, you need to believe its antibody engineering platforms can convert into meaningful, durable royalties and eventually products, despite continued operating losses and competitive TL1A pressure. The Ultomiris royalty extension modestly improves near term funding visibility but does not remove the key risk that late stage development and potential commercialization could remain capital intensive and expose shareholders to further dilution or margin pressure.

The recent Phase 1 data update for XmAb819 in advanced renal cell carcinoma is particularly relevant here, as it highlights Xencor’s effort to broaden its clinical pipeline while Ultomiris royalties help support spending. Together, the patent extension and expanding clinical programs frame a catalyst path that still depends on Xencor’s ability to advance differentiated assets through complex, costly studies without overextending its balance sheet.

Yet investors should be aware that Xencor’s plan to carry assets into late stage trials without clear out licensing commitments could...

Read the full narrative on Xencor (it's free!)

Xencor's narrative projects $180.3 million revenue and $29.0 million earnings by 2028. This requires 7.1% yearly revenue growth and about a $200 million earnings increase from -$171.1 million today.

Uncover how Xencor's forecasts yield a $28.00 fair value, a 58% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

XNCR 1-Year Stock Price Chart
XNCR 1-Year Stock Price Chart

One member of the Simply Wall St Community currently pegs Xencor’s fair value at US$28 per share, underscoring how tightly clustered some individual expectations can be. Set against Xencor’s reliance on expensive late stage trials with uncertain partnering, this single view highlights why it can be useful to compare several different assessments before forming your own.

Explore another fair value estimate on Xencor - why the stock might be worth as much as 58% more than the current price!

Build Your Own Xencor Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NasdaqGM:XNCR

Xencor

A clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery and development of engineered monoclonal antibodies for the treatment of asthma and allergic diseases, autoimmune diseases, and cancer.

Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.

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