Stock Analysis

UroGen Pharma Ltd. (NASDAQ:URGN) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

NasdaqGM:URGN
Source: Shutterstock

UroGen Pharma Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:URGN) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.2x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Biotechs industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 12.9x and even P/S above 51x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for UroGen Pharma

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:URGN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 18th 2024

How UroGen Pharma Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, UroGen Pharma has been relatively sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think UroGen Pharma's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is UroGen Pharma's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as UroGen Pharma's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 24% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 60% each year during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 239% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that UroGen Pharma's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that UroGen Pharma maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for UroGen Pharma (1 is concerning!) that we have uncovered.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

New: AI Stock Screener & Alerts

Our new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.

• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)
• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying
• High growth Tech and AI Companies

Or build your own from over 50 metrics.

Explore Now for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqGM:URGN

UroGen Pharma

A biotechnology company, engages in the development and commercialization of solutions for urothelial and specialty cancers.

High growth potential and good value.

Community Narratives

Priced for AI perfection - cracks are emerging
Fair Value US$90.15|42.74% overvalued
ChadWisperer
ChadWisperer
Community Contributor
NVDA Market Outlook
Fair Value US$341.12|62.277% undervalued
NateF
NateF
Community Contributor
Karoon Energy (ASX:KAR) - Buy Baby Buy 🚀
Fair Value AU$5.10|69.118% undervalued
StockMan
StockMan
Community Contributor