Stock Analysis

Travere Therapeutics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TVTX) Share Price Boosted 29% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

NasdaqGM:TVTX
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Despite an already strong run, Travere Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:TVTX) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 21% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, Travere Therapeutics may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.7x, considering almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 11.4x and even P/S higher than 78x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Travere Therapeutics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:TVTX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 10th 2024

What Does Travere Therapeutics' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times haven't been great for Travere Therapeutics as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Travere Therapeutics.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Travere Therapeutics' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 47%. Still, revenue has fallen 13% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 42% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 139% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why Travere Therapeutics is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

Shares in Travere Therapeutics have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Travere Therapeutics' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Travere Therapeutics has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Travere Therapeutics might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.