Some Titan Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:TTNP) Shareholders Have Copped A 99% Share Price Wipe Out

Simply Wall St

It is a pleasure to report that the Titan Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:TTNP) is up 58% in the last quarter. But that is meagre solace in the face of the shocking decline over three years. To wit, the share price sky-dived 99% in that time. Arguably, the recent bounce is to be expected after such a bad drop. But the more important question is whether the underlying business can justify a higher price still.

We really feel for shareholders in this scenario. It's a good reminder of the importance of diversification, and it's worth keeping in mind there's more to life than money, anyway.

See our latest analysis for Titan Pharmaceuticals

Titan Pharmaceuticals wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

Over the last three years, Titan Pharmaceuticals's revenue dropped 45% per year. That means its revenue trend is very weak compared to other loss making companies. The swift share price decline at an annual compound rate of 78%, reflects this weak fundamental performance. We prefer leave it to clowns to try to catch falling knives, like this stock. There is a good reason that investors often describe buying a sharply falling stock price as 'trying to catch a falling knife'. Think about it.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

NasdaqCM:TTNP Income Statement, February 20th 2020

Take a more thorough look at Titan Pharmaceuticals's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 23% in the last year, Titan Pharmaceuticals shareholders lost 84%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 59% per year over five years. We realise that Buffett has said investors should 'buy when there is blood on the streets', but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 6 warning signs for Titan Pharmaceuticals (2 are significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

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