Stock Analysis

Time To Worry? Analysts Just Downgraded Their 2seventy bio, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSVT) Outlook

NasdaqGS:TSVT
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The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for 2seventy bio, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSVT), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. Revenue estimates were cut sharply as the analysts signalled a weaker outlook - perhaps a sign that investors should temper their expectations as well.

Following the downgrade, the consensus from six analysts covering 2seventy bio is for revenues of US$51m in 2022, implying a not inconsiderable 11% decline in sales compared to the last 12 months. Losses are expected to increase substantially, hitting US$8.71 per share. However, before this estimates update, the consensus had been expecting revenues of US$58m and US$8.47 per share in losses. Ergo, there's been a clear change in sentiment, with the analysts administering a notable cut to this year's revenue estimates, while at the same time increasing their loss per share forecasts.

See our latest analysis for 2seventy bio

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NasdaqGS:TSVT Earnings and Revenue Growth August 12th 2022

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that sales are expected to reverse, with a forecast 21% annualised revenue decline to the end of 2022. That is a notable change from historical growth of 20% over the last year. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 15% annually for the foreseeable future. It's pretty clear that 2seventy bio's revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that analysts increased their loss per share estimates for this year. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that 2seventy bio's revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. Often, one downgrade can set off a daisy-chain of cuts, especially if an industry is in decline. So we wouldn't be surprised if the market became a lot more cautious on 2seventy bio after today.

Still, the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple 2seventy bio analysts - going out to 2024, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.