Stock Analysis

Will Telomir Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:TELO) Spend Its Cash Wisely?

NasdaqCM:TELO
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We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

So, the natural question for Telomir Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:TELO) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

See our latest analysis for Telomir Pharmaceuticals

When Might Telomir Pharmaceuticals Run Out Of Money?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. As at March 2024, Telomir Pharmaceuticals had cash of US$3.3m and such minimal debt that we can ignore it for the purposes of this analysis. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through US$5.1m. That means it had a cash runway of around 8 months as of March 2024. To be frank, this kind of short runway puts us on edge, as it indicates the company must reduce its cash burn significantly, or else raise cash imminently. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:TELO Debt to Equity History August 9th 2024

How Is Telomir Pharmaceuticals' Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Because Telomir Pharmaceuticals isn't currently generating revenue, we consider it an early-stage business. So while we can't look to sales to understand growth, we can look at how the cash burn is changing to understand how expenditure is trending over time. Remarkably, it actually increased its cash burn by 344% in the last year. With that kind of spending growth its cash runway will shorten quickly, as it simultaneously uses its cash while increasing the burn rate. Telomir Pharmaceuticals makes us a little nervous due to its lack of substantial operating revenue. So we'd generally prefer stocks from this list of stocks that have analysts forecasting growth.

How Hard Would It Be For Telomir Pharmaceuticals To Raise More Cash For Growth?

Since its cash burn is moving in the wrong direction, Telomir Pharmaceuticals shareholders may wish to think ahead to when the company may need to raise more cash. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Telomir Pharmaceuticals' cash burn of US$5.1m is about 4.3% of its US$118m market capitalisation. Given that is a rather small percentage, it would probably be really easy for the company to fund another year's growth by issuing some new shares to investors, or even by taking out a loan.

How Risky Is Telomir Pharmaceuticals' Cash Burn Situation?

On this analysis of Telomir Pharmaceuticals' cash burn, we think its cash burn relative to its market cap was reassuring, while its increasing cash burn has us a bit worried. Summing up, we think the Telomir Pharmaceuticals' cash burn is a risk, based on the factors we mentioned in this article. On another note, Telomir Pharmaceuticals has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.