Stock Analysis

Is Recro Pharma (NASDAQ:REPH) A Risky Investment?

NasdaqCM:SCTL
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Recro Pharma, Inc. (NASDAQ:REPH) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Recro Pharma

What Is Recro Pharma's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Recro Pharma had US$96.3m of debt at September 2021, down from US$117.9m a year prior. However, it also had US$23.5m in cash, and so its net debt is US$72.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:REPH Debt to Equity History January 6th 2022

A Look At Recro Pharma's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Recro Pharma had liabilities of US$12.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$100.4m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$23.5m and US$21.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$68.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of US$82.5m. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Recro Pharma can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, Recro Pharma made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$63m, which is a fall of 15%. That's not what we would hope to see.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Recro Pharma's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost US$7.9m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of US$21m into a profit. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Recro Pharma (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.