Stock Analysis

We Think Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical (NASDAQ:RARE) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

NasdaqGS:RARE
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. (NASDAQ:RARE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical

What Is Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical's Debt?

As you can see below, Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical had US$891.4m of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$412.1m, its net debt is less, at about US$479.3m.

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NasdaqGS:RARE Debt to Equity History May 24th 2024

How Healthy Is Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical had liabilities of US$245.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$921.2m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$412.1m as well as receivables valued at US$100.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$654.3m.

Given Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical has a market capitalization of US$3.41b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical reported revenue of US$443m, which is a gain of 15%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Its EBIT loss was a whopping US$580m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$544m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.