Stock Analysis

Can Qualigen Therapeutics (NASDAQ:QLGN) Afford To Invest In Growth?

NasdaqCM:QLGN
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We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Qualigen Therapeutics (NASDAQ:QLGN) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.

See our latest analysis for Qualigen Therapeutics

Does Qualigen Therapeutics Have A Long Cash Runway?

You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. In September 2021, Qualigen Therapeutics had US$12m in cash, and was debt-free. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through US$19m. So it had a cash runway of approximately 8 months from September 2021. That's quite a short cash runway, indicating the company must either reduce its annual cash burn or replenish its cash. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:QLGN Debt to Equity History March 8th 2022

How Well Is Qualigen Therapeutics Growing?

Notably, Qualigen Therapeutics actually ramped up its cash burn very hard and fast in the last year, by 150%, signifying heavy investment in the business. That does give us pause, and we can't take much solace in the operating revenue growth of 4.0% in the same time frame. Taken together, we think these growth metrics are a little worrying. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

How Hard Would It Be For Qualigen Therapeutics To Raise More Cash For Growth?

Since Qualigen Therapeutics has been boosting its cash burn, the market will likely be considering how it can raise more cash if need be. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

Since it has a market capitalisation of US$22m, Qualigen Therapeutics' US$19m in cash burn equates to about 87% of its market value. That suggests the company may have some funding difficulties, and we'd be very wary of the stock.

Is Qualigen Therapeutics' Cash Burn A Worry?

There are no prizes for guessing that we think Qualigen Therapeutics' cash burn is a bit of a worry. In particular, we think its cash burn relative to its market cap suggests it isn't in a good position to keep funding growth. While not as bad as its cash burn relative to its market cap, its revenue growth is also a concern, and considering everything mentioned above, we're struggling to find much to be optimistic about. Once we consider the metrics mentioned in this article together, we're left with very little confidence in the company's ability to manage its cash burn, and we think it will probably need more money. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 7 warning signs for Qualigen Therapeutics (2 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.