Stock Analysis

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Myriad Genetics, Inc. (NASDAQ:MYGN) After Its Yearly Results

NasdaqGS:MYGN
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There's been a notable change in appetite for Myriad Genetics, Inc. (NASDAQ:MYGN) shares in the week since its annual report, with the stock down 19% to US$11.74. Myriad Genetics reported revenues of US$838m, in line with expectations, but it unfortunately also reported (statutory) losses of US$1.41 per share, which were slightly larger than expected. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

View our latest analysis for Myriad Genetics

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NasdaqGS:MYGN Earnings and Revenue Growth February 26th 2025

Taking into account the latest results, Myriad Genetics' 14 analysts currently expect revenues in 2025 to be US$851.2m, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Losses are predicted to fall substantially, shrinking 52% to US$0.66. Before this latest report, the consensus had been expecting revenues of US$863.0m and US$0.76 per share in losses. Although the revenue estimates have not really changed Myriad Genetics'future looks a little different to the past, with a notable improvement in the loss per share forecasts in particular.

There's been no major changes to the consensus price target of US$19.41, suggesting that reduced loss estimates are not enough to have a long-term positive impact on the stock's valuation. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Myriad Genetics at US$29.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$11.00. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Myriad Genetics' revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 1.6% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 4.1% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 20% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Myriad Genetics.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts reconfirmed their loss per share estimates for next year. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Myriad Genetics' revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$19.41, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple Myriad Genetics analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Myriad Genetics , and understanding it should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.