Stock Analysis

We're A Little Worried About Miromatrix Medical's (NASDAQ:MIRO) Cash Burn Rate

NasdaqCM:MIRO
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There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Miromatrix Medical (NASDAQ:MIRO) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

Check out our latest analysis for Miromatrix Medical

SWOT Analysis for Miromatrix Medical

Strength
  • Debt is well covered by earnings.
Weakness
  • Expensive based on P/S ratio compared to estimated Fair P/S ratio.
  • Shareholders have been diluted in the past year.
Opportunity
  • MIRO's financial characteristics indicate limited near-term opportunities for shareholders.
Threat
  • Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.
  • Has less than 3 years of cash runway based on current free cash flow.

When Might Miromatrix Medical Run Out Of Money?

A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. Miromatrix Medical has such a small amount of debt that we'll set it aside, and focus on the US$26m in cash it held at March 2023. In the last year, its cash burn was US$28m. Therefore, from March 2023 it had roughly 11 months of cash runway. That's quite a short cash runway, indicating the company must either reduce its annual cash burn or replenish its cash. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:MIRO Debt to Equity History July 1st 2023

How Is Miromatrix Medical's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Whilst it's great to see that Miromatrix Medical has already begun generating revenue from operations, last year it only produced US$955k, so we don't think it is generating significant revenue, at this point. Therefore, for the purposes of this analysis we'll focus on how the cash burn is tracking. With the cash burn rate up 18% in the last year, it seems that the company is ratcheting up investment in the business over time. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but investors should be mindful of the fact that will shorten the cash runway. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

How Hard Would It Be For Miromatrix Medical To Raise More Cash For Growth?

Since its cash burn is moving in the wrong direction, Miromatrix Medical shareholders may wish to think ahead to when the company may need to raise more cash. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Miromatrix Medical's cash burn of US$28m is about 59% of its US$48m market capitalisation. From this perspective, it seems that the company spent a huge amount relative to its market value, and we'd be very wary of a painful capital raising.

Is Miromatrix Medical's Cash Burn A Worry?

Miromatrix Medical is not in a great position when it comes to its cash burn situation. Although we can understand if some shareholders find its increasing cash burn acceptable, we can't ignore the fact that we consider its cash burn relative to its market cap to be downright troublesome. Considering all the measures mentioned in this report, we reckon that its cash burn is fairly risky, and if we held shares we'd be watching like a hawk for any deterioration. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 6 warning signs for Miromatrix Medical (2 are a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.