Stock Analysis

Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MIRM) Business And Shares Still Trailing The Industry

NasdaqGM:MIRM
Source: Shutterstock

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.2x Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:MIRM) is definitely a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Biotechs companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 11.6x and even P/S above 67x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Mirum Pharmaceuticals

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:MIRM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 28th 2024

How Has Mirum Pharmaceuticals Performed Recently?

Mirum Pharmaceuticals certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Mirum Pharmaceuticals.

How Is Mirum Pharmaceuticals' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Mirum Pharmaceuticals' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 134% last year. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year revenue growth being relatively non-existent overall. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the ten analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 36% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 209% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Mirum Pharmaceuticals is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On Mirum Pharmaceuticals' P/S

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As expected, our analysis of Mirum Pharmaceuticals' analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Mirum Pharmaceuticals, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Mirum Pharmaceuticals is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.