Stock Analysis

Foghorn Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ:FHTX) Shares Fly 33% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

NasdaqGM:FHTX
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Those holding Foghorn Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ:FHTX) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 33% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 28% over that time.

Even after such a large jump in price, Foghorn Therapeutics' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.2x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Biotechs industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 10.9x and even P/S above 49x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Foghorn Therapeutics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:FHTX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 13th 2023

How Has Foghorn Therapeutics Performed Recently?

Recent times have been advantageous for Foghorn Therapeutics as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Foghorn Therapeutics.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Foghorn Therapeutics would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 107%. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 22% per annum over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 216% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we can see why Foghorn Therapeutics is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What Does Foghorn Therapeutics' P/S Mean For Investors?

Despite Foghorn Therapeutics' share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As expected, our analysis of Foghorn Therapeutics' analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Foghorn Therapeutics (including 1 which is a bit concerning).

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.