Stock Analysis

Would Evolus (NASDAQ:EOLS) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

NasdaqGM:EOLS
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Evolus, Inc. (NASDAQ:EOLS) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Evolus

How Much Debt Does Evolus Carry?

As you can see below, Evolus had US$72.0m of debt, at March 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$31.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$40.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGM:EOLS Debt to Equity History June 16th 2023

A Look At Evolus' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Evolus had liabilities of US$40.7m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$112.6m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$31.5m as well as receivables valued at US$23.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$98.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Evolus is worth US$440.6m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Evolus's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

In the last year Evolus wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 29%, to US$156m. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

Even though Evolus managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Its EBIT loss was a whopping US$54m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$70m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Evolus you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Evolus is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.