Evolus, Inc. (NASDAQ:EOLS) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 32% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 40%.
After such a large jump in price, Evolus may be sending sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.7x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Pharmaceuticals industry in the United States have P/S ratios under 3x and even P/S lower than 0.7x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
View our latest analysis for Evolus
What Does Evolus' Recent Performance Look Like?
Evolus certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Evolus will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Evolus would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 41% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 210% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 29% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 20% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Evolus' P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What Does Evolus' P/S Mean For Investors?
Evolus shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Evolus' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Evolus that you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Evolus might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NasdaqGM:EOLS
Evolus
A performance beauty company, focuses on delivering products in the cash-pay aesthetic market in the United States, Canada, and Europe.
High growth potential and good value.