Stock Analysis

Clearside Biomedical (NASDAQ:CLSD) Is In A Strong Position To Grow Its Business

NasdaqGM:CLSD
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Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, Clearside Biomedical (NASDAQ:CLSD) shareholders have done very well over the last year, with the share price soaring by 282%. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?

In light of its strong share price run, we think now is a good time to investigate how risky Clearside Biomedical's cash burn is. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

See our latest analysis for Clearside Biomedical

When Might Clearside Biomedical Run Out Of Money?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. When Clearside Biomedical last reported its balance sheet in June 2021, it had zero debt and cash worth US$26m. In the last year, its cash burn was US$20m. Therefore, from June 2021 it had roughly 16 months of cash runway. Importantly, though, analysts think that Clearside Biomedical will reach cashflow breakeven before then. In that case, it may never reach the end of its cash runway. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGM:CLSD Debt to Equity History September 30th 2021

How Well Is Clearside Biomedical Growing?

Clearside Biomedical boosted investment sharply in the last year, with cash burn ramping by 88%. As if that's not bad enough, the operating revenue also dropped by 35%, making us very wary indeed. Considering these two factors together makes us nervous about the direction the company seems to be heading. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.

How Easily Can Clearside Biomedical Raise Cash?

Since Clearside Biomedical can't yet boast improving growth metrics, the market will likely be considering how it can raise more cash if need be. Generally speaking, a listed business can raise new cash through issuing shares or taking on debt. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Clearside Biomedical's cash burn of US$20m is about 5.6% of its US$350m market capitalisation. Given that is a rather small percentage, it would probably be really easy for the company to fund another year's growth by issuing some new shares to investors, or even by taking out a loan.

So, Should We Worry About Clearside Biomedical's Cash Burn?

It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Clearside Biomedical is burning through its cash. In particular, we think its cash burn relative to its market cap stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. While we must concede that its increasing cash burn is a bit worrying, the other factors mentioned in this article provide great comfort when it comes to the cash burn. It's clearly very positive to see that analysts are forecasting the company will break even fairly soon. After taking into account the various metrics mentioned in this report, we're pretty comfortable with how the company is spending its cash, as it seems on track to meet its needs over the medium term. On another note, Clearside Biomedical has 4 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Clearside Biomedical is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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