Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.
Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Burning Rock Biotech (NASDAQ:BNR) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.
See our latest analysis for Burning Rock Biotech
When Might Burning Rock Biotech Run Out Of Money?
A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. As at September 2023, Burning Rock Biotech had cash of CN¥636m and no debt. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through CN¥378m. So it had a cash runway of approximately 20 months from September 2023. That's not too bad, but it's fair to say the end of the cash runway is in sight, unless cash burn reduces drastically. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.
How Well Is Burning Rock Biotech Growing?
It was fairly positive to see that Burning Rock Biotech reduced its cash burn by 47% during the last year. Having said that, the flat operating revenue was a bit mundane. Considering the factors above, the company doesn’t fare badly when it comes to assessing how it is changing over time. In reality, this article only makes a short study of the company's growth data. You can take a look at how Burning Rock Biotech has developed its business over time by checking this visualization of its revenue and earnings history.
How Easily Can Burning Rock Biotech Raise Cash?
Even though it seems like Burning Rock Biotech is developing its business nicely, we still like to consider how easily it could raise more money to accelerate growth. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).
Burning Rock Biotech's cash burn of CN¥378m is about 64% of its CN¥592m market capitalisation. That's very high expenditure relative to the company's size, suggesting it is an extremely high risk stock.
Is Burning Rock Biotech's Cash Burn A Worry?
Even though its cash burn relative to its market cap makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Burning Rock Biotech's cash burn reduction was relatively promising. Looking at the factors mentioned in this short report, we do think that its cash burn is a bit risky, and it does make us slightly nervous about the stock. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 3 warning signs for Burning Rock Biotech (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course Burning Rock Biotech may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGM:BNR
Burning Rock Biotech
Primarily develops and sells cancer therapy selection tests in the People's Republic of China.
Flawless balance sheet low.