Autolus Therapeutics Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
Autolus Therapeutics is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 47% and 37.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 50.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -24.3% in 3 years.
Key information
47.0%
Earnings growth rate
50.95%
EPS growth rate
| Biotechs earnings growth | 25.5% |
| Revenue growth rate | 37.6% |
| Future return on equity | -24.29% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 15 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 18
AUTL: Early Commercial Traction And Cost Actions Will Support A Brighter Outlook
Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Autolus Therapeutics to $11.00 from $13.00, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profitability, and future P/E, along with recent shifts in Street price targets following the Q1 report and Aucatyzl launch trends in the U.S. and UK. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary reflects a mix of optimism and recalibration around Autolus Therapeutics, with bullish analysts pointing to early commercial trends for Aucatyzl as a key driver for their views on valuation and execution.
Narrative Update • May 03
AUTL: Rebased Profit Assumptions Set Stage For Future Upside Execution
Analysts have reduced their price targets on Autolus Therapeutics by $2 to $3, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, profit margins, and future P/E levels that temper prior expectations. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the updated discount rates and profit margin assumptions as a reset that can make future execution milestones more impactful for valuation, rather than relying on aggressive prior models.Narrative Update • Apr 18
AUTL: Higher Risk Assumptions Will Still Support Upside Potential
Analysts have modestly lifted their fair value estimate for Autolus Therapeutics from $8.79 to $8.81, tying the change to updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, along with recent price target revisions from the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has focused on recalibrating price targets for Autolus Therapeutics, which feeds directly into the modest change in fair value.Narrative Update • Mar 31
AUTL: Lower 2026 Sales Guidance Will Still Support Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Autolus Therapeutics by $2 to $3 following updated 2026 Aucatzyl sales guidance of $120M to $135M, as well as a recalibration of revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research notes highlight a mixed but focused view on Autolus Therapeutics, centered on execution against updated Aucatzyl sales guidance, cost structure, and how these flow through to valuation assumptions.Seeking Alpha • Mar 27
Autolus Therapeutics: Q4 Earnings Highlight Importance Of Autoimmune Data Catalysts
Summary Autolus Therapeutics plc maintains a Hold rating due to a challenging risk/reward profile despite strong clinical data for Aucatzyl in r/r B-ALL. 2026 guidance targets $120–$135m in product revenues and a shift to positive gross margin, with AUTL's cash runway projected into Q4 2027. Key catalysts include pediatric ALL Phase 2 data (2027) and initial MS autoimmune data (late 2026), both with significant upside potential. Competitive pressures, funding needs beyond 2027, and uncertain commercial uptake in cell therapy remain material risks for AUTL. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Feb 03
The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Autolus Therapeutics plc's (NASDAQ:AUTL) Revenues Yet As Shares Tumble 26%
Autolus Therapeutics plc ( NASDAQ:AUTL ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough...Analysis Article • Dec 20
Autolus Therapeutics plc's (NASDAQ:AUTL) Shares Bounce 28% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry
Autolus Therapeutics plc ( NASDAQ:AUTL ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period...New Narrative • Aug 17
Robust Clinical Uptake Will Expand Advanced Cancer Therapy Adoption
Key Takeaways Accelerating adoption, regulatory progress, and expanded clinical indications position Autolus for increased market share and long-term revenue growth in advanced cancer therapies. Improved manufacturing efficiency and financial discipline strengthen margins, enabling investment in innovation and geographic expansion while supporting sustained profitability.Analysis Article • Apr 04
Industry Analysts Just Upgraded Their Autolus Therapeutics plc (NASDAQ:AUTL) Revenue Forecasts By 12%
Celebrations may be in order for Autolus Therapeutics plc ( NASDAQ:AUTL ) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a...Seeking Alpha • Mar 04
Autolus Therapeutics: Beaten Down, Cash Rich, Poised To Launch A CAR-T Cell Therapy
Summary Autolus Therapeutics' main focus is on obe-cel, a CAR T-cell therapy for B-cell ALL, with a strong likelihood of approval. AUTL has $657.1 million in cash, providing a cash runway of approximately 3 years, alleviating immediate financial concerns. The company faces significant competition in the CD19 CAR T-cell therapy market, making sales execution crucial for success. Despite the competitive landscape, AUTL's broad pipeline and recent approval of obe-cel position it well for future growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 05
Autolus Therapeutics Will Remain Depressed For A While
Summary Autolus Therapeutics' obe-cel, branded Aucatzyl, is the first CAR-T therapy approved without a REMS, highlighting its safety and unique mechanism. Despite initial stock surge post-approval, AUTL's stock has steadily declined due to market skepticism on CAR-T's financial efficiency and pre-approval fundraising. AUTL's financials show a strong cash position but poor market performance, with the stock trading below cash value, excluding debt. The market demands sustained earnings and cautious fund-raising, suggesting AUTL's stock will remain depressed for the next 3-4 years. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jan 07
Is Autolus Therapeutics (NASDAQ:AUTL) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Seeking Alpha • Nov 21
AUCATZYL's Approval Positions Autolus Therapeutics Favorably In The CAR-T Market
Summary Autolus Therapeutics' AUCATZYL, approved by the FDA for relapsed/refractory B-cell ALL, shows strong potential despite safety concerns. The Company’s Obe-cel family and oncology pipeline include multiple catalysts for 2025, expanding potential indications in autoimmune diseases and hematologic malignancies. AUTL's cash runway of 1.9 years and no financial debt provide a solid financial foundation to support AUCATZYL's commercialization and future growth. Key risks include scaling manufacturing, securing insurance coverage, and expanding treatment centers, but these are manageable, supporting a bullish long-term outlook. Autolus's valuation appears undervalued given AUCATZYL's market potential and robust pipeline, including multiple CAR T-cell therapies in various trial stages. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 06
Autolus: Start Thinking About Obe-Cel PDUFA -- And The (Baby) Bull Case
Summary Autolus Therapeutics plc has a PDUFA date upcoming for its cell therapy obe-cel, indicated for B-ALL. The FDA will decide whether to approve the drug for commercial use. There is already a cell therapy approved in this indication, as well as Amgen's blincyto, but obe-cel's safety and efficacy profile appears strong. Autolus has taken its time gathering the data required to push for approval, but now it has US and EU approval in its sights. An intriguing secondary catalyst is obe-cel in autoimmune disease systemic lupus erythematosus - positive data could send the share price soaring. I have followed Autolus for some time, and my “buy” calls have not come off — but I remain optimistic there is a cell therapy player of note here and I am keeping the faith. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Aug 15
Is Autolus Therapeutics (NASDAQ:AUTL) Using Debt Sensibly?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Seeking Alpha • Jul 31
Autolus Therapeutics: Major Inflection Point On The Horizon
Summary Today, we are putting T cell developmental firm Autolus Therapeutics plc back in the spotlight for the first time in a year and a half. The company could garner its first FDA approval later this year, and recently signed an enhanced partnership arrangement with a large player in the biotech space. An updated analysis around Autolus Therapeutics follows in the paragraphs below. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • May 14
Autolus Therapeutics: Trading Like Their Products Are Not Valuable, Which Is An Opportunity
Summary Autolus Therapeutics now has years of operational runway after recent financing. Operating expenses are manageable, with numerous pipeline projects in the hopper. Autolus likely has an approved therapy on their hands, just waiting for the November action date to realize it. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Nov 06
We're Hopeful That Autolus Therapeutics (NASDAQ:AUTL) Will Use Its Cash Wisely
We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. For example, biotech and mining...Analysis Article • Jun 26
Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Autolus Therapeutics' (NASDAQ:AUTL) Cash Burn Situation
There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, although Amazon.com...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 321 | -131 | N/A | N/A | 6 |
| 12/31/2027 | 193 | -189 | -127 | N/A | 9 |
| 12/31/2026 | 129 | -236 | N/A | N/A | 9 |
| 3/31/2026 | 93 | -289 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 75 | -288 | -311 | -284 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 51 | -225 | -306 | -254 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 30 | -228 | -312 | -263 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 9 | -238 | -284 | -241 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 10 | -221 | -241 | -206 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 10 | -270 | -206 | -193 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 10 | -234 | -161 | -157 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 10 | -221 | -152 | -144 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 2 | -208 | -157 | -146 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 6 | -158 | -145 | -135 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 7 | -155 | -142 | -127 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 7 | -152 | -133 | -120 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 6 | -149 | -123 | -112 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 3 | -164 | -119 | -107 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 1 | -155 | -119 | -110 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 2 | -146 | -123 | -116 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 2 | -142 | -127 | -118 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 3 | -143 | -149 | -136 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 3 | -147 | -154 | -141 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 2 | -145 | -145 | -131 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 2 | -142 | -132 | -118 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 2 | -140 | -134 | -123 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 1 | -130 | -120 | -109 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 1 | -127 | -113 | -99 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3 | -124 | N/A | -101 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 3 | -104 | N/A | -88 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 3 | -89 | N/A | -72 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 3 | -68 | N/A | -61 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 1 | -58 | N/A | -43 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 1 | -45 | N/A | -32 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 1 | -41 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 2 | -38 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 2 | -29 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 2 | -20 | N/A | -16 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 1 | -13 | N/A | -10 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 0 | -7 | N/A | -3 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: AUTL is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Earnings vs Market: AUTL is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
High Growth Earnings: AUTL is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: AUTL's revenue (37.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.6% per year).
High Growth Revenue: AUTL's revenue (37.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: AUTL is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/20 09:42 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/20 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Autolus Therapeutics plc is covered by 16 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| James Shin | Deutsche Bank |
| Rajan Sharma | Goldman Sachs |
| Emily Bodnar | H.C. Wainwright & Co. |