Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc.

NasdaqGM:AUPH Stock Report

Market Cap: US$723.1m

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Valuation

Is AUPH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AUPH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AUPH ($5) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($25.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AUPH is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AUPH?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AUPH key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-6.3x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AUPH's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AUPH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.6x
YMAB Y-mAbs Therapeutics
8.5x15.6%US$722.3m
NRIX Nurix Therapeutics
9.3x30.0%US$714.7m
FATE Fate Therapeutics
13.1x3.0%US$835.2m
SLN Silence Therapeutics
31.6x24.1%US$1.0b
AUPH Aurinia Pharmaceuticals
4.1x19.3%US$723.1m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AUPH is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.1x) compared to the peer average (15.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AUPH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Biotechs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AUPH is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.1x) compared to the US Biotechs industry average (15.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AUPH's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AUPH PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4.1x
Fair PS Ratio8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AUPH is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AUPH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$5.00
US$10.57
+111.4%
23.1%US$15.00US$8.00n/a7
Mar ’25US$5.78
US$10.57
+82.9%
23.1%US$15.00US$8.00n/a7
Feb ’25US$7.73
US$13.21
+70.9%
14.3%US$15.00US$9.50n/a7
Jan ’25US$8.99
US$13.21
+47.0%
14.3%US$15.00US$9.50n/a7
Dec ’24US$9.06
US$13.21
+45.9%
14.3%US$15.00US$9.50n/a7
Nov ’24US$7.13
US$14.00
+96.4%
8.5%US$15.00US$12.00n/a7
Oct ’24US$7.77
US$14.00
+80.2%
8.5%US$15.00US$12.00n/a7
Sep ’24US$9.46
US$14.00
+48.0%
8.5%US$15.00US$12.00n/a7
Aug ’24US$10.45
US$13.71
+31.2%
9.3%US$15.00US$12.00n/a7
Jul ’24US$9.68
US$13.71
+41.7%
9.3%US$15.00US$12.00n/a7
Jun ’24US$9.12
US$13.71
+50.4%
9.3%US$15.00US$12.00n/a7
May ’24US$11.20
US$13.00
+16.1%
17.0%US$15.00US$9.00n/a7
Apr ’24US$10.96
US$13.00
+18.6%
17.0%US$15.00US$9.00n/a7
Mar ’24US$8.99
US$13.00
+44.6%
17.0%US$15.00US$9.00US$5.787
Feb ’24US$9.27
US$12.56
+35.5%
24.0%US$15.00US$5.50US$7.738
Jan ’24US$4.32
US$11.88
+174.9%
25.2%US$15.00US$5.50US$8.998
Dec ’23US$5.07
US$11.88
+134.2%
25.2%US$15.00US$5.50US$9.068
Nov ’23US$8.01
US$21.31
+166.1%
27.0%US$30.00US$13.00US$7.138
Oct ’23US$7.52
US$21.31
+183.4%
27.0%US$30.00US$13.00US$7.778
Sep ’23US$7.29
US$21.81
+199.2%
25.8%US$30.00US$13.00US$9.468
Aug ’23US$8.14
US$23.31
+186.4%
23.5%US$30.00US$15.00US$10.458
Jul ’23US$11.39
US$23.81
+109.1%
20.5%US$30.00US$15.00US$9.688
Jun ’23US$11.08
US$23.81
+114.9%
20.5%US$30.00US$15.00US$9.128
May ’23US$10.29
US$25.94
+152.1%
22.7%US$34.00US$18.00US$11.208
Apr ’23US$12.59
US$26.56
+111.0%
21.4%US$34.00US$18.00US$10.968
Mar ’23US$12.01
US$29.63
+146.7%
10.9%US$34.00US$23.00US$8.998

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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