Veracyte Valuation

Is VCYT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VCYT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VCYT ($39.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($54.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VCYT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VCYT?

Key metric: As VCYT is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for VCYT. This is calculated by dividing VCYT's market cap by their current revenue.
What is VCYT's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio7.1x
SalesUS$425.33m
Market CapUS$3.03b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does VCYT's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for VCYT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.9x
ACAD ACADIA Pharmaceuticals
2.9x9.7%US$2.7b
PTCT PTC Therapeutics
3.6x5.5%US$3.0b
FOLD Amicus Therapeutics
5.8x19.5%US$2.8b
ZLAB Zai Lab
7.3x34.1%US$2.6b
VCYT Veracyte
7.1x9.5%US$3.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: VCYT is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.1x) compared to the peer average (4.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does VCYT's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Biotechs Industry?

131 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GILD Gilead Sciences
3.9x2.4%US$109.25b
BIIB Biogen
2.4x1.3%US$22.65b
MRNA Moderna
2.8x7.2%US$14.35b
INCY Incyte
3.4x8.9%US$13.59b
VCYT 7.1xIndustry Avg. 10.3xNo. of Companies131PS01632486480+
131 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: VCYT is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.1x) compared to the US Biotechs industry average (10.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VCYT's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VCYT PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio7.1x
Fair PS Ratio4.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: VCYT is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VCYT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$39.20
US$42.78
+9.1%
15.0%US$50.00US$28.00n/a9
Nov ’25US$34.31
US$37.63
+9.7%
13.5%US$43.00US$26.00n/a8
Oct ’25US$33.13
US$34.00
+2.6%
12.8%US$40.00US$26.00n/a6
Sep ’25US$31.55
US$33.50
+6.2%
11.3%US$37.00US$26.00n/a6
Aug ’25US$22.95
US$29.83
+30.0%
17.5%US$37.00US$21.00n/a6
Jul ’25US$21.33
US$29.83
+39.9%
17.5%US$37.00US$21.00n/a6
Jun ’25US$20.75
US$29.83
+43.8%
17.5%US$37.00US$21.00n/a6
May ’25US$20.13
US$30.83
+53.2%
16.7%US$37.00US$21.00n/a6
Apr ’25US$21.64
US$31.67
+46.3%
16.1%US$37.00US$21.00n/a6
Mar ’25US$24.00
US$31.67
+31.9%
16.1%US$37.00US$21.00n/a6
Feb ’25US$25.36
US$32.50
+28.2%
16.2%US$37.00US$22.00n/a6
Jan ’25US$27.51
US$32.17
+16.9%
15.6%US$37.00US$22.00n/a6
Dec ’24US$26.54
US$32.17
+21.2%
15.6%US$37.00US$22.00n/a6
Nov ’24US$21.06
US$32.67
+55.1%
14.0%US$37.00US$23.00US$34.316
Oct ’24US$22.33
US$33.50
+50.0%
14.4%US$37.00US$23.00US$33.136
Sep ’24US$26.70
US$33.50
+25.5%
14.4%US$37.00US$23.00US$31.556
Aug ’24US$27.04
US$32.83
+21.4%
15.1%US$37.00US$22.00US$22.956
Jul ’24US$25.47
US$31.67
+24.3%
14.7%US$35.00US$22.00US$21.336
Jun ’24US$26.19
US$31.67
+20.9%
14.7%US$35.00US$22.00US$20.756
May ’24US$22.84
US$31.67
+38.6%
14.7%US$35.00US$22.00US$20.136
Apr ’24US$22.30
US$31.67
+42.0%
14.7%US$35.00US$22.00US$21.646
Mar ’24US$23.70
US$31.67
+33.6%
14.7%US$35.00US$22.00US$24.006
Feb ’24US$25.96
US$31.17
+20.1%
14.0%US$35.00US$22.00US$25.366
Jan ’24US$23.73
US$30.50
+28.5%
15.0%US$35.00US$22.00US$27.516
Dec ’23US$28.83
US$30.17
+4.6%
15.0%US$35.00US$22.00US$26.546
Nov ’23US$20.65
US$29.50
+42.9%
10.1%US$32.00US$23.00US$21.066

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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