MannKind Corporation

NasdaqGM:MNKD Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.9b

MannKind Valuation

Is MNKD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MNKD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MNKD ($6.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($25.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MNKD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MNKD?

Key metric: As MNKD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MNKD. This is calculated by dividing MNKD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MNKD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio87x
EarningsUS$21.57m
Market CapUS$1.88b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MNKD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MNKD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.4x
CPRX Catalyst Pharmaceuticals
17.2x14.4%US$2.5b
ADMA ADMA Biologics
66.1x30.5%US$4.5b
ACAD ACADIA Pharmaceuticals
21.7x28.7%US$2.8b
AGIO Agios Pharmaceuticals
4.5x-56.7%US$3.1b
MNKD MannKind
87x39.7%US$1.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MNKD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (87x) compared to the peer average (27.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MNKD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Biotechs Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ROIV Roivant Sciences
1.8x-40.6%US$8.15b
AGIO Agios Pharmaceuticals
4.5x-56.7%US$3.07b
INBX Inhibrx Biosciences
0.1xn/aUS$200.20m
DTIL Precision BioSciences
4.8x-41.3%US$55.12m
MNKD 87.0xIndustry Avg. 17.2xNo. of Companies10PE020406080100+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MNKD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (87x) compared to the US Biotechs industry average (17.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MNKD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MNKD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio87x
Fair PE Ratio32.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MNKD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (87x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MNKD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$6.80
US$9.25
+36.0%
19.3%US$12.00US$7.00n/a4
Nov ’25US$7.17
US$7.88
+9.8%
33.1%US$12.00US$5.00n/a4
Oct ’25US$6.26
US$7.88
+25.8%
33.1%US$12.00US$5.00n/a4
Sep ’25US$6.26
US$7.63
+21.8%
34.5%US$12.00US$5.00n/a4
Aug ’25US$5.55
US$6.25
+12.6%
12.0%US$7.00US$5.00n/a4
Jul ’25US$5.09
US$7.08
+39.2%
21.3%US$10.00US$5.00n/a6
Jun ’25US$4.67
US$7.08
+51.7%
21.3%US$10.00US$5.00n/a6
May ’25US$4.34
US$7.08
+63.2%
21.3%US$10.00US$5.00n/a6
Apr ’25US$4.34
US$7.08
+63.2%
21.3%US$10.00US$5.00n/a6
Mar ’25US$4.50
US$7.08
+57.4%
21.3%US$10.00US$5.00n/a6
Feb ’25US$3.41
US$6.92
+102.8%
23.4%US$10.00US$5.00n/a6
Jan ’25US$3.64
US$6.92
+90.0%
23.4%US$10.00US$5.00n/a6
Dec ’24US$3.77
US$6.92
+83.5%
23.4%US$10.00US$5.00n/a6
Nov ’24US$4.03
US$7.25
+79.9%
20.6%US$10.00US$5.00US$7.176
Oct ’24US$4.13
US$6.70
+62.2%
13.8%US$7.50US$5.00US$6.265
Sep ’24US$4.63
US$6.70
+44.7%
13.8%US$7.50US$5.00US$6.265
Aug ’24US$4.49
US$6.40
+42.5%
11.5%US$7.00US$5.00US$5.555
Jul ’24US$4.07
US$6.40
+57.2%
11.5%US$7.00US$5.00US$5.095
Jun ’24US$4.48
US$6.40
+42.9%
11.5%US$7.00US$5.00US$4.675
May ’24US$3.96
US$6.40
+61.6%
11.5%US$7.00US$5.00US$4.345
Apr ’24US$4.10
US$6.67
+62.6%
13.5%US$8.00US$5.00US$4.346
Mar ’24US$4.83
US$6.67
+38.0%
13.5%US$8.00US$5.00US$4.506
Feb ’24US$5.27
US$6.17
+17.0%
15.3%US$8.00US$5.00US$3.416
Jan ’24US$5.27
US$6.17
+17.0%
15.3%US$8.00US$5.00US$3.646
Dec ’23US$4.66
US$6.17
+32.3%
15.3%US$8.00US$5.00US$3.776
Nov ’23US$3.47
US$6.00
+72.9%
17.3%US$8.00US$5.00US$4.036

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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