Stock Analysis

Will New Clinical Data on LUPKYNIS Shape Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' (AUPH) Specialist Appeal?

  • Aurinia Pharmaceuticals announced that five new scientific posters of real-world and clinical data on LUPKYNIS (voclosporin) were presented in collaboration with independent investigators at the American College of Rheumatology (ACR) Convergence 2025 in Chicago and the American Society of Nephrology (ASN) Kidney Week 2025 in Houston.
  • This spotlight on clinical evidence and expanded real-world usage scenarios may further broaden visibility and clinical understanding of LUPKYNIS among specialists treating lupus nephritis.
  • We'll now examine how upcoming new evidence on LUPKYNIS use, including pediatric data, fits into Aurinia's investment narrative.

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Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Investment Narrative Recap

For an Aurinia Pharmaceuticals investor, the core belief is that ongoing growth and broadening clinical adoption of LUPKYNIS can sustain revenue expansion and earnings improvement, despite significant product concentration risk. The latest announcements of new LUPKYNIS data from major medical meetings offer incremental support for clinical visibility but do not appear to fundamentally shift the near-term revenue catalyst or address the key risk of heavy reliance on a single product.

Among recent news, the May 2025 post-hoc analysis from AURORA 1, noted for showing improved proteinuria outcomes with LUPKYNIS plus background therapies, is especially relevant, as it reinforces clinical positioning while global adoption expands. This supports the main commercial thesis but does not eliminate overhangs related to exclusivity challenges and potential biosimilar threats.

However, investors should be aware that patent protection concerns continue to loom, especially as questions about LUPKYNIS exclusivity remain unresolved and...

Read the full narrative on Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (it's free!)

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' outlook anticipates $386.4 million in revenue and $141.3 million in earnings by 2028. This scenario is based on a 14.1% annual revenue growth rate and an $80.7 million increase in earnings from the current $60.6 million.

Uncover how Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' forecasts yield a $11.71 fair value, in line with its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

AUPH Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
AUPH Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Simply Wall St Community fair value opinions for Aurinia Pharmaceuticals range widely from US$7.65 to US$26.45 across five analyses. Your outlook must consider that ongoing patent challenges could further impact future revenue stability, explore how varied views may shape your own expectations.

Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Aurinia Pharmaceuticals - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NasdaqGM:AUPH

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals

A biopharmaceutical company that engages in delivering therapies to people living with autoimmune diseases with high unmet medical needs.

Flawless balance sheet and fair value.

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