Apellis Pharmaceuticals Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Apellis Pharmaceuticals is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 61.3% and 16.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 59.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -1.5% in 3 years.

Key information

61.3%

Earnings growth rate

59.9%

EPS growth rate

Biotechs earnings growth	27.3%
Revenue growth rate	16.5%
Future return on equity	-1.5%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	23 Jan 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Apellis: Saved By The October Data

Dec 25

There's No Escaping Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:APLS) Muted Revenues Despite A 26% Share Price Rise

Dec 15

Health Check: How Prudently Does Apellis Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:APLS) Use Debt?

Jul 12

What Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:APLS) P/S Is Not Telling You

May 30

It's Probably Less Likely That Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:APLS) CEO Will See A Huge Pay Rise This Year

May 30

Apellis Pharmaceuticals Strives For Recovery Despite Syfovre Setbacks

May 14

Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:APLS) First-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

May 09

Apellis Pharmaceuticals: Eye Disease Drug Syfovre On Comeback Trail - But Risks Remain

Feb 16

With A 55% Price Drop For Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:APLS) You'll Still Get What You Pay For

Jul 19

Analysts Are Betting On Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:APLS) With A Big Upgrade This Week

May 13

Is Apellis Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:APLS) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Apr 18

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:APLS - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027	1,224	156	346	273	12
12/31/2026	1,076	-12	105	89	17
12/31/2025	853	-135	-24	3	21
12/31/2024	766	-209	-91	-141	20
9/30/2024	715	-250	-206	-205	N/A
6/30/2024	629	-333	-409	-408	N/A
3/31/2024	524	-417	-551	-550	N/A
12/31/2023	397	-529	-596	-595	N/A
9/30/2023	273	-606	-639	-638	N/A
6/30/2023	185	-657	-625	-623	N/A
3/31/2023	106	-691	-582	-580	N/A
12/31/2022	75	-652	-515	-514	N/A
9/30/2022	113	-634	-486	-485	N/A
6/30/2022	97	-638	-501	-500	N/A
3/31/2022	81	-702	-522	-521	N/A
12/31/2021	67	-746	-564	-563	N/A
9/30/2021	256	-520	-310	-309	N/A
6/30/2021	251	-460	-245	-240	N/A
3/31/2021	251	-360	-211	-205	N/A
12/31/2020	251	-345	-166	-160	N/A
9/30/2020	1	-536	-389	-385	N/A
6/30/2020	N/A	-470	-340	-338	N/A
3/31/2020	N/A	-423	-285	-284	N/A
12/31/2019	N/A	-305	-213	-211	N/A
9/30/2019	N/A	-228	-175	-174	N/A
6/30/2019	N/A	-194	-154	-153	N/A
3/31/2019	N/A	-156	-145	-144	N/A
12/31/2018	N/A	-128	-131	-131	N/A
9/30/2018	N/A	-109	-102	-102	N/A
6/30/2018	N/A	-85	N/A	-80	N/A
3/31/2018	N/A	-64	N/A	-61	N/A
12/31/2017	N/A	-51	N/A	-47	N/A
9/30/2017	N/A	-39	N/A	-38	N/A
6/30/2017	N/A	-35	N/A	-33	N/A
3/31/2017	N/A	-30	N/A	-28	N/A
12/31/2016	N/A	-27	N/A	-26	N/A
9/30/2016	N/A	-29	N/A	-27	N/A
6/30/2016	N/A	-53	N/A	-24	N/A
3/31/2016	N/A	-50	N/A	-21	N/A
12/31/2015	N/A	-47	N/A	-19	N/A
9/30/2015	N/A	-41	N/A	-14	N/A
6/30/2015	N/A	-12	N/A	-14	N/A
3/31/2015	N/A	-12	N/A	-12	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: APLS is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: APLS is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: APLS is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: APLS's revenue (16.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: APLS's revenue (16.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: APLS is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/01/23 13:48
End of Day Share Price	2025/01/23 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is covered by 34 analysts. 21 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Colleen Kusy	Baird
Michael Ulz	Baird
Ishan Majumdar	Baptista Research

Apellis Pharmaceuticals Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 24%

Price target decreased by 18% to US$51.79

Price target decreased by 7.0% to US$63.11

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2026

Price target decreased by 7.6% to US$69.12

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

Recent updates

Co-Founder notifies of intention to sell stock

Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Announces Executive Changes

New minor risk - Insider selling

Apellis Pharmaceuticals Appoints Keli Walbert to the Board of Directors

Apellis: Saved By The October Data

There's No Escaping Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:APLS) Muted Revenues Despite A 26% Share Price Rise

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 24%

Price target decreased by 18% to US$51.79

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Sobi and Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Announces Detailed Data from the Phase 3 Valiant Study

Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Presents Positive Results from the Phase 3 VALIANT Study at Kidney Week

Price target decreased by 7.0% to US$63.11

Would Apellis Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:APLS) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2026

Apellis Pharmaceuticals: Assessing The Impact Of The Negative CHMP Opinion

Investors Aren't Buying Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:APLS) Revenues

Apellis: Rare Kidney Disease Data Leads To Possible First To Market

Sobi and Apellis Announce Positive Topline Results from Phase 3 Valiant Study of Pegcetacoplan in C3G and Primary IC-MPGN

Price target decreased by 7.6% to US$69.12

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

Health Check: How Prudently Does Apellis Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:APLS) Use Debt?

Independent Director notifies of intention to sell stock

What Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:APLS) P/S Is Not Telling You

It's Probably Less Likely That Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:APLS) CEO Will See A Huge Pay Rise This Year

Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Announces Positive One-Year Data from Phase 2 Study of Pegcetacoplan in Post-Transplant Recurrence of C3G and IC-MPGN Presented as Late-Breaker at ERA Congress

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 17%

Apellis Pharmaceuticals Strives For Recovery Despite Syfovre Setbacks

Co-Founder & Chief Scientific Officer notifies of intention to sell stock

Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:APLS) First-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

First quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 18%

Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Jun 05, 2024

Apellis Announces Pegcetacoplan MAA Review Reset to Initial Assessment by European Medicines Agency

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to US$0.98 loss

Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to US$1.00 loss

Co-Founder & Chief Scientific Officer notifies of intention to sell stock

Independent Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Chief Technical Operations Officer recently sold US$646k worth of stock

Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Announces Appointment of Philip Ferrone, M.D as Chief Medical Retina Advisor, Effective March 18, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 13%, revenue upgraded

Co-Founder notifies of intention to sell stock

New minor risk - Financial position

Apellis Pharmaceuticals: Eye Disease Drug Syfovre On Comeback Trail - But Risks Remain

Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Announces Negative CHMP Opinion for Pegcetacoplan for Ga in the European Union and Plans to Seek Re-Examination of Application

Co-Founder notifies of intention to sell stock

Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Appoints Adam Townsend as Chief Operating Officer

Co-Founder recently sold US$525k worth of stock

Price target increased by 9.0% to US$71.44

Price target decreased by 9.6% to US$66.69

Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Provides Update on Ongoing Regulatory Review of Pegcetacoplan for GA in the European Union

Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. and Sobi Presents Post Hoc Data that Reinforce the Long-Term Efficacy and Safety of EMPAVELI

CFO & Treasurer exercised options and sold US$633k worth of stock

Insufficient new directors

Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of $300 million.

Sobi and Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Announce Positive Results from Phase 2 NOBLE Results of Pegcetacoplan in Post-Transplant Recurrence of Primary IC-MPGN and C3G

Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Announces U.S. FDA Approval of the EMPAVELI® Injector, a Device to Streamline Self-Administration

Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Receives Permanent J-Code (J2781) for SYFOVRE® (Pegcetacoplan Injection), Effective October 1, 2023

Levi & Korsinsky, LLP Notifies Investors in Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. of Class Action Securities Lawsuit

Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Announces Corporate Restructuring to Drive Growth of SYFOVRE and EMPAVELI

Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Announces Corporate Restructuring to Drive Growth of SYFOVRE and EMPAVELI

Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Provides Updates on Injection Kits and Rare Safety Events with SYFOVRE (Pegcetacoplan Injection)

Co-Founder & Chief Scientific Officer notifies of intention to sell stock

Co-Founder & Chief Scientific Officer notifies of intention to sell stock

Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP and Bernstein Litowitz Berger & Grossmann LLP Files Securities Class Action Lawsuit Against Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc

No longer forecast to breakeven

Second quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Provides Update on Review of Rare Safety Events with SYFOVRE® for Geographic Atrophy

Price target decreased by 9.8% to US$93.23