Alumis Inc.

NasdaqGS:ALMS Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.0b

Alumis Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Alumis is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 16.7% and 57.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 29.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -91% in 3 years.

Key information

16.7%

Earnings growth rate

29.47%

EPS growth rate

Pharmaceuticals earnings growth14.4%
Revenue growth rate57.6%
Future return on equity-90.95%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated04 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Analysis Article • Aug 16

Alumis Inc. Beat Analyst Profit Forecasts, And Analysts Have New Estimates

It's been a pretty great week for Alumis Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALMS ) shareholders, with its shares surging 10% to US$4.75 in...

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Mar 25

Alumis: Oral Psoriasis Med Can Win Approval, Challenge Big Pharma In Major Markets

Summary Alumis Inc. is upgraded to Buy, reversing a prior Sell, based on strong Phase 3 envudeucitinib psoriasis data and pipeline potential. Envudeucitinib demonstrated efficacy comparable to JNJ's newly approved Icotyde, with 74% PASI 75 and 59% sPGA 0/1 at week 16. ALMS targets NDA submission for envudeucitinib in 2H 2026, with additional data in psoriatic arthritis and SLE expected in 2026. With a $2.91bn market cap and analyst targets of $45–$50, ALMS appears up to 40% undervalued, supported by blockbuster potential and robust cash runway. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article • Aug 16

Alumis Inc. Beat Analyst Profit Forecasts, And Analysts Have New Estimates

It's been a pretty great week for Alumis Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALMS ) shareholders, with its shares surging 10% to US$4.75 in...
Analysis Article • May 29

News Flash: Analysts Just Made A Substantial Upgrade To Their Alumis Inc. (NASDAQ:ALMS) Forecasts

Alumis Inc. ( NASDAQ:ALMS ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial...
Seeking Alpha • Nov 28

Alumis: A Best-In-Class TYK2 Inhibitor

Summary Alumis' lead drug, ESK-001, is a potential best-in-class TYK2 inhibitor for treating plaque psoriasis and immunological diseases in general., with phase 3 trial data expected in 1H2026. With around $360M in cash, the company is expecting topline phase 3 data on ESK-001 in 1H2026. Given the risks for future dilution and the need for more safety data on the lead, we see Alumis as a compelling stock to monitor. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 04

Alumis: Could This Broken Immunology IPO Become The Next Amgen?

Summary With a drug in advanced testing for two different indications that have spawned several blockbuster drugs, could Alumis be the next immunology stock to soar on the Nasdaq? Investors who buy now can get it around 30% under the June 28th IPO price. Alumis is backed by prominent healthcare hedge funds such as Baker Brothers, VenBio, and Cormorant Asset Management. But do the potential gains justify the risk? We take an in-depth look at the company’s pipeline and trial results and deliver our verdict. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 16

Alumis: Recent IPO With Differentiated Data In Autoimmune Diseases

Summary Alumis, a recent IPO, has ESK-001, a promising phase 3 TYK2 inhibitor for Psoriasis and SLE, showing superior efficacy and safety over existing treatments. ESK-001's allosteric inhibition offers high selectivity and minimal off-target effects, potentially positioning it as a better alternative to the approved TYK2 inhibitor, Sotyktu. Despite strong midstage trial data and a solid cash runway, the highly competitive market and recent IPO status present significant investment risks. I remain cautious on ALMS, acknowledging its potential but wary of market differentiation and liquidity issues. A wait-and-watch approach is prudent. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:ALMS - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2028173-311-416-2348
12/31/202723-412-423-37611
12/31/20269-376-475-35710
12/31/202524-243-370-370N/A
9/30/202522-245-373-372N/A
6/30/202520-228-347-345N/A
3/31/202517-343-293-291N/A
12/31/2024N/A-294-257-255N/A
9/30/2024N/A-239-217-214N/A
6/30/2024N/A-189-167-164N/A
3/31/2024N/A-169-144-140N/A
12/31/2023N/A-155-134-130N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ALMS is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Earnings vs Market: ALMS is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

High Growth Earnings: ALMS is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: ALMS's revenue (57.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ALMS's revenue (57.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ALMS is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/13 17:06
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/13 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Alumis Inc. is covered by 11 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brian SkorneyBaird
Eric SchmidtCantor Fitzgerald & Co.
Janani SundararajanChardan Capital Markets, LLC