Stock Analysis

Benign Growth For Adaptimmune Therapeutics plc (NASDAQ:ADAP) Underpins Stock's 29% Plummet

NasdaqGS:ADAP
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Adaptimmune Therapeutics plc (NASDAQ:ADAP) shares have retraced a considerable 29% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 24% in that time.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Adaptimmune Therapeutics may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.5x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 13x and even P/S higher than 65x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

See our latest analysis for Adaptimmune Therapeutics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:ADAP Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 16th 2024

How Has Adaptimmune Therapeutics Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Adaptimmune Therapeutics has been relatively sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Adaptimmune Therapeutics.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Adaptimmune Therapeutics' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 122% last year. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 4.7% each year during the coming three years according to the four analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 167% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that Adaptimmune Therapeutics' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

Adaptimmune Therapeutics' P/S looks about as weak as its stock price lately. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Adaptimmune Therapeutics' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 6 warning signs for Adaptimmune Therapeutics (3 are a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Adaptimmune Therapeutics is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.