This company has been acquired
Twitter (TWTR) Stock Overview
Twitter, Inc. operates as a platform for public self-expression and conversation in real-time. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 2/6 |
| Future Growth | 1/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 3/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
No risks detected for TWTR from our risk checks.
TWTR Community Fair Values
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Twitter, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$53.70 |
| 52 Week High | US$55.64 |
| 52 Week Low | US$31.30 |
| Beta | 0.53 |
| 1 Month Change | 27.58% |
| 3 Month Change | 29.06% |
| 1 Year Change | -1.09% |
| 3 Year Change | 79.18% |
| 5 Year Change | 172.45% |
| Change since IPO | 19.60% |
Recent News & Updates
Elon Musk said to have ordered imminent Twitter layoffs
Billionaire Elon Musk is said to have ordered layoffs at Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) as soon as Saturday, just days after he took over the social media behemoth. The Tesla (TSLA) chief, who completed his $44 billion acquisition of Twitter on Thursday, is said to have planned for cuts across the company, with some areas to be impacted more than others, according to a New York Times report, which cited people familiar. The scope of the reductions wasn't immediately known. Twitter has about 7,500 employees. The layoffs are expected to come before Tuesday, when the employees were expected to receive stock grants as part of their compensation, according to the NYT report. The report comes after a Washington Post story earlier this month said that Musk planned to cut 75% of the Twitter (TWTR) workforce after he took over, a report that was later denied by the social media company. Also see from earlier Saturday, Musk, Trump, Zuckerberg: Twitter buy signals new stage in the social media wars.Twitter: Government Highly Unlikely To Block Deal
Summary Twitter is down big in pre-market trading on a Bloomberg report about unhappy government officials. I have no doubt there are government officials that are unhappy with Elon Musk's conduct on Twitter and elsewhere. I can understand government entities wanting to look into the billionaire's geopolitical ties and wheeling and dealing. Odds seem low that this will ultimately derail the deal at $54.20 between Twitter shareholders and Elon Musk. Twitter, Inc. (TWTR) is down massively in pre-market trading as there's been a Bloomberg report saying: "Biden administration officials are discussing whether the US should subject some of Elon Musk's ventures to national security reviews, including the deal for Twitter Inc. and SpaceX's Starlink satellite network." In my opinion, this opens up an opportunity to add to a Twitter position at very low prices. These discussions seem to have borne out of Elon Musk's recent meddling in Russia's war on Ukraine. Officials are (according to Bloomberg) worried about his pro-Russian stance. In addition they are worried about (the money quote): They are also concerned by his plans to buy Twitter with a group of foreign investors. The deal for Twitter is funded by Elon Musk, a group of equity investors, and a debt package from a group of banks. The equity portion of the deal includes the parties government officials are worried about, according to Bloomberg: "Prince Alwaleed bin Talal of Saudi Arabia, Binance Holdings Ltd. -- a digital-asset exchange founded and run by a Chinese native -- and Qatar's sovereign wealth fund." To offer some perspective, Musk is putting up $33.5 billion. This latter group of investors is putting up $7.1 billion. This group includes Saudi Prince Alwaleed bin Talal Al Saud, who is rolling over his current stake worth $1.9 billion. Note that he already owned Twitter before this deal came to fruition. This is not a new thing. Note that I'm not a lawyer or law professional. Having said that, according to the merger agreement, Musk is on the hook for the entire equity portion. If pieces of the equity financing fall through, Musk needs to find a way to cover the shortfall. Maybe he's already trying to get some new investors in as he seemed to be back to the promoter playbook on the most recent Tesla's earnings call. The Bloomberg article talks a lot about SpaceX as well. I can imagine the U.S. government wants to put Elon Musk under some scrutiny or put some informal pressure on him not to mess with U.S. geopolitics. Some people will argue Elon Musk is trying to deliberately blow up his Twitter deal through his Russia/Ukraine shenanigans and even by more prominently talking about China. Under this theory, he would hope to get some kind of enemy of the state label making him unfit to own a social media outfit like Twitter. Per Bloomberg: The discussions are still at an early stage, the people familiar said on condition of anonymity. Officials in the US government and intelligence community are weighing what tools, if any, are available that would allow the federal government to review Musk's ventures.Twitter V. Musk: What Could Go Wrong
Summary How did we get here? What next? Two possible routes to the end. How we got here 2022 has been the golden age for merger arb with many wide deal spreads, but the widest of them all is Twitter (TWTR). In April, Elon Musk signed a definitive agreement to buy Twitter. At the time, he said that, Free speech is the bedrock of a functioning democracy, and Twitter is the digital town square where matters vital to the future of humanity are debated. I also want to make Twitter better than ever by enhancing the product with new features, making the algorithms open source to increase trust, defeating the spam bots, and authenticating all humans. Twitter has tremendous potential – I look forward to working with the company and the community of users to unlock it. In his own words, he bought Twitter in part to defeat bots and authenticate humans; demonstrably, this was a problem that he knew existed and that he planned to fix. The next month, Musk suffered from buyer’s remorse. In his own words, it was due to his concerns over Putin’s aggression in Ukraine and the threat of World War III. He also grew increasingly agitated over Tesla’s (TSLA) poor stock performance, which would increase the cost of Twitter in terms of the number of Tesla shares he’d have to sell. Musk’s problem was that neither his real macro concerns nor his specific problems with Tesla-driven wealth destruction were outs under the merger agreement. They were problems, but they were his problems. They were excellent examples of things he should have thought of ahead of time. They could have potentially allowed him to pay something in the $30s per share instead of the contractual price in the $50s. So Musk was forced to turn to one thinly-veiled pretext after another to see if anything could stick. It didn’t. The buyer is erratic and conducted much of his disclosure via crazy tweets. We have been active shareholders, including writing an open letter to Twitter’s board immediately following Musk’s first of several purported deal terminations, encouraging the board to fight for the original deal. Fight they did. Meanwhile, Musk’s constant stream of tweets badly damaged his legal case. My confidence is in the iron-clad Twitter definitive merger agreement, in Wachtell Lipton’s ability to uphold it, in Chancellor McCormick’s ability to judge, and in the Delaware court and rule of law generally. That's why TWTR is one of my three biggest positions and best ideas for 2022 along with Renren (RENN) and Amplify (AMPY). YCharts The deal has a number of conditions including HSR approval as well as sign offs from the UK CMA, NSI, and Twitter shareholders. Each of those have been secured. Then in early October, Musk made a conditional offer to close the deal this month on the original $54.20 per share terms. Twitter responded, The intention of the Company is to close the transaction at $54.20 per share. The prospects for a price cut appear to have substantially diminished. Following his most recent change of heart, he’s been sounding more positive about Twitter on Twitter and said to the FT that, I’m not doing Twitter for the money. It’s not like I’m trying to buy some yacht and I can’t afford it. I don’t own any boats. But I think it’s important that people have a maximally trusted and inclusive means of exchanging ideas and that it should be as trusted and transparent as possible. As of this writing, there remains a $5.00 net spread between the market price and the original deal price. What Could Go Wrong The reasonably likely downside is for Musk’s erratic behavior to date to continue unabated throughout the course of this month. He can change his mind yet again. He can nuke his financing (indirectly through his irreparable damage to Twitter or directly through additional contact with the banks asking them again to slow or stop the debt financing process). He can fail to line up equity financing. He can refuse to sign or have signed the solvency agreement. He can attempt to pay the oft quoted but rarely understood $1 billion parent termination fee. What Could Go Wrong with What Could Go Wrong The Honorable Chancellor Kathaleen St. J. McCormick (DE C of C) No matter how much chaos Elon Musk creates in October and whether or not he’s able to spread it to Morgan Stanley (MS) and others contractually committed to financing this deal, the chaos will abruptly end at 5 PM Oct. 28, 2022. The brief and pointed stay is worth reading for its substance and tone: DE Court of ChanceryMusk deposition in Twitter case set for end of week
With deadlines closing in on the trial of Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) v. Musk et al., the delayed deposition of Elon Musk is now set to take place on Thursday and Friday. Court filings indicate the private questioning of the billionaire will happen at a law office in Austin, the home of Musk's automaker Tesla. His attorney, Alex Spiro, is set for deposition on Sunday, following his own postponed deposition. Twitter (TWTR) CEO Parag Agrawal was scheduled to be deposed on Monday, after his own deposition was previously postponed - and there's little room for any more delays as more pretrial deadlines arrive. The end of Wednesday brings the deadline for final witness lists for each side. The five-day trial to settle the case is set to begin Oct. 17 in Delaware's Court of Chancery.Recent updates
Shareholder Returns
| TWTR | US Interactive Media and Services | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 2.4% | -1.9% | -2.5% |
| 1Y | -1.1% | 51.4% | 22.7% |
Return vs Industry: TWTR exceeded the US Interactive Media and Services industry which returned -46.6% over the past year.
Return vs Market: TWTR exceeded the US Market which returned -21.7% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| TWTR volatility | |
|---|---|
| TWTR Average Weekly Movement | 7.7% |
| Interactive Media and Services Industry Average Movement | 8.5% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.6% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: TWTR's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months.
Volatility Over Time: TWTR's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | 7,500 | Parag Agrawal | www.twitter.com |
Twitter, Inc. operates as a platform for public self-expression and conversation in real-time. The company’s primary product is Twitter, a platform that allows users to consume, create, distribute, and discover content. It also provides promoted products that enable advertisers to promote brands, products, and services, as well as enable advertisers to target an audience based on various factors, including who an account follows and actions taken on its platform, such as Tweets created and engagement with Tweets.
Twitter, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| TWTR fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$41.03b |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$111.78m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$5.23b |
Is TWTR overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| TWTR income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$5.23b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$2.05b |
| Gross Profit | US$3.18b |
| Other Expenses | US$3.29b |
| Earnings | -US$111.78m |
Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2022
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -0.15 |
| Gross Margin | 60.84% |
| Net Profit Margin | -2.14% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 88.4% |
How did TWTR perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2022/10/27 08:01 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2022/10/27 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2022/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2021/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Twitter, Inc. is covered by 45 analysts. 31 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Richard Kramer | Arete Research Services LLP |
| James Kelleher | Argus Research Company |
| Colin Sebastian | Baird |