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Twitter Valuation

Is TWTR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TWTR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TWTR ($53.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($74.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TWTR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TWTR?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

TWTR key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA197.3x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does TWTR's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for TWTR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.9x
BIDU Baidu
1.9x7.1%US$35.0b
PINS Pinterest
7.3x13.3%US$22.3b
SNAP Snap
4.1x11.4%US$18.8b
MTCH Match Group
2.5x6.6%US$8.5b
TWTR Twitter
7.8x14.8%US$41.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: TWTR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.8x) compared to the peer average (3.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TWTR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Interactive Media and Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: TWTR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.8x) compared to the US Interactive Media and Services industry average (1.4x)


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TWTR's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TWTR PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio7.8x
Fair PS Ratio4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: TWTR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TWTR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$44.89
0%
22.4%US$54.20US$22.00n/a24
Apr ’25n/a
US$44.89
0%
22.4%US$54.20US$22.00n/a24
Mar ’25n/a
US$44.89
0%
22.4%US$54.20US$22.00n/a24
Feb ’25n/a
US$44.89
0%
22.4%US$54.20US$22.00n/a24
Jan ’25n/a
US$44.89
0%
22.4%US$54.20US$22.00n/a24
Dec ’24n/a
US$44.89
0%
22.4%US$54.20US$22.00n/a24
Nov ’24n/a
US$44.89
0%
22.4%US$54.20US$22.00n/a24
Oct ’24n/a
US$44.89
0%
22.4%US$54.20US$22.00n/a24
Sep ’24n/a
US$44.89
0%
22.4%US$54.20US$22.00n/a24
Aug ’24n/a
US$44.89
0%
22.4%US$54.20US$22.00n/a24
Jul ’24n/a
US$44.89
0%
22.4%US$54.20US$22.00n/a24
Jun ’24n/a
US$44.89
0%
22.4%US$54.20US$22.00n/a24
May ’24n/a
US$44.89
0%
22.4%US$54.20US$22.00n/a24
Apr ’24n/a
US$44.89
0%
22.4%US$54.20US$22.00n/a24
Mar ’24n/a
US$44.89
0%
22.4%US$54.20US$22.00n/a24
Feb ’24n/a
US$44.89
0%
22.4%US$54.20US$22.00n/a24
Jan ’24n/a
US$44.89
0%
22.4%US$54.20US$22.00n/a24
Dec ’23n/a
US$44.89
0%
22.4%US$54.20US$22.00n/a24
Nov ’23US$53.70
US$44.89
-16.4%
22.4%US$54.20US$22.00n/a24
Oct ’23US$43.84
US$42.10
-4.0%
22.0%US$54.20US$22.00n/a24
Sep ’23US$38.62
US$42.10
+9.0%
22.0%US$54.20US$22.00n/a24
Aug ’23US$40.89
US$42.63
+4.3%
23.6%US$55.00US$22.00n/a26
Jul ’23US$38.23
US$49.78
+30.2%
15.0%US$60.00US$33.00n/a28
Jun ’23US$39.30
US$50.73
+29.1%
13.0%US$60.00US$33.00n/a28
May ’23US$49.02
US$51.03
+4.1%
13.8%US$60.40US$33.00n/a29
Apr ’23US$39.31
US$44.24
+12.5%
20.6%US$60.40US$30.00n/a35

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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