Sphere Entertainment Co.'s (NYSE:SPHR) Shares Climb 35% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Sphere Entertainment Co. (NYSE:SPHR) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 35% share price jump in the last month. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 26%.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Sphere Entertainment's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.9x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Entertainment industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.7x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

We've found 21 US stocks that are forecast to pay a dividend yield of over 6% next year. See the full list for free.

View our latest analysis for Sphere Entertainment

What Does Sphere Entertainment's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times haven't been great for Sphere Entertainment as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Sphere Entertainment.

How Is Sphere Entertainment's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Sphere Entertainment's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 71% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its uninspiring short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders will be pleased, but also have some questions to ponder about the last 12 months.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 6.6% per annum as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 13% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Sphere Entertainment is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Sphere Entertainment's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

When you consider that Sphere Entertainment's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Sphere Entertainment you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.

If you're unsure about the strength of Sphere Entertainment's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.