Nextdoor Holdings, Inc.

NYSE:KIND Stock Report

Market Cap: US$943.9m

Nextdoor Holdings Valuation

Is KIND undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KIND when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KIND ($2.42) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($5.45)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KIND is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KIND?

Key metric: As KIND is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for KIND. This is calculated by dividing KIND's market cap by their current revenue.
What is KIND's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio3.9x
SalesUS$237.61m
Market CapUS$943.89m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does KIND's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for KIND vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.6x
SSTK Shutterstock
1.2x7.3%US$1.1b
VMEO Vimeo
2.7x4.4%US$1.1b
CARS Cars.com
1.8x4.2%US$1.3b
TBLA Taboola.com
0.7x13.2%US$1.2b
KIND Nextdoor Holdings
3.9x11.6%US$943.9m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: KIND is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.9x) compared to the peer average (1.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does KIND's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Interactive Media and Services Industry?

25 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FUBO fuboTV
0.3x12.3%US$487.78m
OB Outbrain
0.3x6.6%US$266.62m
TRVG trivago
0.3x5.7%US$137.77m
SST System1
0.2x1.4%US$91.21m
KIND 3.9xIndustry Avg. 1.2xNo. of Companies25PS01.63.24.86.48+
25 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: KIND is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.9x) compared to the US Interactive Media and Services industry average (1.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KIND's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KIND PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3.9x
Fair PS Ratio1.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: KIND is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KIND forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$2.42
US$2.78
+15.0%
5.6%US$3.00US$2.65n/a3
Nov ’25US$2.47
US$2.55
+3.2%
2.8%US$2.65US$2.50n/a3
Oct ’25US$2.41
US$2.55
+5.8%
2.8%US$2.65US$2.50n/a3
Sep ’25US$2.50
US$2.66
+6.5%
7.7%US$3.00US$2.50n/a4
Aug ’25US$2.77
US$2.56
-7.5%
10.6%US$3.00US$2.25n/a4
Jul ’25US$2.65
US$2.69
+1.5%
18.4%US$3.50US$2.20n/a5
Jun ’25US$2.42
US$2.69
+11.2%
18.4%US$3.50US$2.20n/a5
May ’25US$2.12
US$2.64
+24.5%
19.8%US$3.50US$2.20n/a5
Apr ’25US$2.24
US$2.64
+17.9%
19.8%US$3.50US$2.20n/a5
Mar ’25US$2.18
US$2.64
+21.1%
19.8%US$3.50US$2.20n/a5
Feb ’25US$1.61
US$2.52
+56.5%
25.2%US$3.50US$1.75n/a5
Jan ’25US$1.89
US$2.52
+33.3%
25.2%US$3.50US$1.75n/a5
Dec ’24US$1.64
US$2.44
+48.8%
28.7%US$3.50US$1.75n/a5
Nov ’24US$1.76
US$3.31
+88.0%
25.9%US$5.00US$2.40US$2.476
Oct ’24US$1.82
US$3.35
+84.1%
24.5%US$5.00US$2.40US$2.416
Sep ’24US$2.18
US$3.35
+53.7%
24.5%US$5.00US$2.40US$2.506
Aug ’24US$3.10
US$3.31
+6.7%
25.4%US$5.00US$2.40US$2.776
Jul ’24US$3.26
US$3.06
-6.2%
31.2%US$5.00US$2.25US$2.656
Jun ’24US$2.73
US$2.97
+8.8%
34.5%US$5.00US$2.25US$2.425
May ’24US$2.04
US$2.92
+43.1%
35.8%US$5.00US$2.25US$2.125
Apr ’24US$2.15
US$2.92
+35.8%
35.8%US$5.00US$2.25US$2.245
Mar ’24US$1.94
US$2.98
+53.6%
34.6%US$5.00US$2.25US$2.185
Feb ’24US$2.61
US$3.13
+19.9%
30.9%US$5.00US$2.30US$1.615
Jan ’24US$2.06
US$3.18
+54.4%
29.5%US$5.00US$2.30US$1.895
Dec ’23US$2.16
US$3.18
+47.2%
29.5%US$5.00US$2.30US$1.645
Nov ’23US$2.61
US$3.95
+51.3%
29.0%US$6.00US$2.50US$1.765

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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