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Updated 6m ago
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Gray Media, Inc.NYSE:GTN Stock Report

Market Cap US$440.7m
Updated 6m ago
Share Price
n/a
1Y-19.6%
7D-8.5%
1D-4.1%
Portfolio Value
​
View

Gray Media, Inc.

NYSE:GTN Stock Report

Market Cap: US$440.7m

  • Company Overview
    • Valuation
    • Future Growth
    • Past Performance
    • Financial Health
    • Dividend
  • Management
  • Ownership
  • Other Information
  • Stock Community

Gray Media (GTN) Stock Overview

A multimedia company, owns and/or operates local television stations and digital assets in the United States. More details

GTN fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation5/6
Future Growth2/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health0/6
Dividends3/6

Rewards

Trading at 57.3% below our estimate of its fair value

Trading at good value compared to peers and industry

Risk Analysis

Interest payments are not well covered by earnings

Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 6.5% per year for the next 3 years

Dividend of 7.21% is not well covered by earnings


GTN Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 20 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Analyst Price Targets

AN
AnalystLowTarget
48.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•3mo ago

Falling Linear TV Audiences Will Erode Advertising Revenues

44
0
2
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
31.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•2mo ago

Aggressive M&A Will Accelerate US Media Erosion

136
0
6
AN
AnalystHighTarget
59.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•3mo ago

Local Digital Shifts Will Expand Media Reach Despite Risks

31
0
2

Top Analyst Narratives

AN
AnalystLowTarget
48.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
AnalystLowTarget
•3mo ago

Falling Linear TV Audiences Will Erode Advertising Revenues

44
0
2
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
31.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystConsensusTarget
•2mo ago

Aggressive M&A Will Accelerate US Media Erosion

136
0
6
AN
AnalystHighTarget
59.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
AnalystHighTarget
•3mo ago

Local Digital Shifts Will Expand Media Reach Despite Risks

31
0
2
View all narratives

Gray Media, Inc. Competitors

iHeartMedia

Symbol: NasdaqGS:IHRT
Market cap: US$412.1m

AMC Global Media

Symbol: NasdaqGS:AMCX
Market cap: US$475.2m

E.W. Scripps

Symbol: NasdaqGS:SSP
Market cap: US$279.9m

Entravision Communications

Symbol: NYSE:EVC
Market cap: US$719.8m

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Gray Media
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$4.44
52 Week HighUS$6.44
52 Week LowUS$3.55
Beta0.99
1 Month Change-10.12%
3 Month Change15.63%
1 Year Change-19.57%
3 Year Change-37.46%
5 Year Change-81.14%
Change since IPO-65.85%

Recent News & Updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Jul 25

Gray Media: A Leveraged Local TV Recovery Bet With 2026 Political Upside

Summary Gray Media trades at a deep discount to stockholders’ equity, reflecting both risk and opportunity for speculative investors. GTN’s 2026 political advertising cycle is a key near-term catalyst, with Q1 political ad revenue rising from $13M to $30M and Q2 guidance of $60–$70M. High leverage, declining retransmission revenues, and industry headwinds present substantial risks, but ongoing adjusted EBITDA and M&A-driven scale support a bullish thesis. I rate GTN a speculative Buy for risk-tolerant investors, contingent on revenue stabilization and successful capture of political ad windfalls. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jul 02

GTN: New Carriage And Political Ad Tailwinds Will Drive Rerating

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Gray Media, reducing the price target from $7.30 to $6.50 as they factor in a higher discount rate, more conservative revenue growth, a lower expected profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for Gray Media Gray Media closed a private placement of US$70 million of 7.250% Senior Secured First Lien Notes due 2033, using the proceeds to repurchase 50,000 shares of Series A Perpetual Preferred Stock with a US$50 million aggregate liquidation preference for US$30 million plus accrued but unpaid dividends, leaving 600,000 preferred shares outstanding with a US$600 million aggregate liquidation preference.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 18

GTN: Sports And Political Advertising Deals Will Support Higher Future Earnings Multiple

Analysts have lowered their price target on Gray Media from $12.00 to $11.00, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly higher projected revenue growth, a reduced profit margin outlook, a marginally higher discount rate, and a modestly adjusted forward P/E multiple. What’s in the News for Gray Media Gray Media introduced an enhanced Political 360 digital advertising solution powered by Aristotle data, aiming to give political and advocacy clients more precise voter and consumer audience targeting across devices and platforms.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jun 04

GTN: Sports Simulcasts And Carriage Deals Will Sustain Depressed Earnings Multiple

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Gray Media, reflecting a lower fair value estimate and a reduced assumed future P/E multiple, while making modest adjustments to revenue growth and profit margin expectations. What's in the News Gray Media issued earnings guidance for the quarter ending June 30, 2026, expecting total revenue less agency commissions in a range of US$780 million to US$800 million.
User avatar
Narrative Update • May 19

GTN: Sports Simulcasts And New Carriage Deals Will Sustain Depressed Multiples

Analysts have raised their price target for Gray Media by $0.54, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple that together indicate a revised view of the stock's earnings power and valuation. What's in the News Gray Media issued earnings guidance for the quarter ending June 30, 2026, projecting total revenue less agency commissions of US$780 million to US$800 million.
User avatar
Narrative Update • May 02

GTN: Future Sports Broadcast Deals Will Drive A Rerating Narrative

Analysts have raised their price target on Gray Media by about $1.22 per share. This reflects updated assumptions that now include projected revenue growth of roughly 4.53%, a profit margin near 7.92% and a future P/E closer to 3.88x, along with only a slight adjustment to the discount rate at about 12.33%.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 18

GTN: Expanding Sports Simulcasts Will Keep Depressed Earnings Multiples Intact

Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on Gray Media. The updated view reflects fine tuned assumptions around revenue growth of 4.25%, a profit margin of 8.38%, and a forward P/E of about 2.03x, which together support a refreshed upside and risk profile for the shares in dollar terms.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Apr 04

GTN: Expanding Sports Simulcasts Will Keep Earnings Multiples Under Pressure

Analysts have raised their price target on Gray Media to $4.00, citing updated assumptions that include slightly higher revenue growth, a modest improvement in profit margin, and a small adjustment to the forward P/E multiple. What's in the News Multi year agreement with the Atlanta Braves to simulcast 25 regular season games across 24 markets in six states, with Gray’s Raycom Sports providing end to end live production for BravesVision starting March 27, 2026 (Client Announcements).
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 20

GTN: Renewed Network And Sports Deals Will Keep Multiples Under Pressure

Analysts have lifted their price target on Gray Media by $1.00, citing updated assumptions that now point to higher modeled fair value, a slightly lower discount rate, stronger revenue growth of 4.22%, an 8.26% profit margin, and a future P/E of 2.06x. What's in the News The Cincinnati Reds agreed a two year partnership with Gray Media and WXIX FOX19 to simulcast 10 regular season games per year on free over the air television across seven states, including Opening Day on March 26 and a series of “Red Hot Mondays” broadcasts.
User avatar
Narrative Update • Mar 06

GTN: Expanded Sports And Spanish Distribution Will Support Higher Future Earnings Multiple

Analysts have lifted their price target on Gray Media from $10.00 to $12.00, citing updated assumptions that reflect higher modeled revenue growth, slightly stronger profit margins, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Gray Media issued earnings guidance for the first quarter ending March 31, 2026, with total revenue expected in the range of US$755 million to US$770 million (Corporate guidance).
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 20

GTN: Expanded Sports And Spanish Language Reach Will Support Higher Earnings Multiple

Analysts now set a $10.00 price target for Gray Media, unchanged from the prior $10.00, citing only very small updates to revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and future P/E estimates. What's in the News Gray Media, St. Louis Louisville and other partners launched the Home Plate package, offering free over the air access to St. Louis Cardinals content across multiple Midwestern markets, including Spring Training, regular-season games and minor league coverage (Client Announcements).
User avatar
Narrative Update • Feb 06

GTN: Expanded Hispanic And Sports Reach Will Support Higher Future Earnings Multiple

Analysts have maintained their price target on Gray Media at US$0.00, citing updated expectations for revenue growth of 1.91%, a profit margin assumption of 7.19%, a P/E multiple of 5.29x, and a slightly lower discount rate of 12.33% in their valuation work. What's in the News Gray Media entered a multi-year affiliation agreement with Telemundo Network that extends their partnership and adds new local affiliates in Dayton, Chattanooga, and Lafayette on Gray owned stations, with Telemundo content now reaching over 1.6 million Hispanic TV households and delivering more than 1,100 hours of local Spanish language news each month plus over 50 million annual digital impressions (Key Developments).
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 23

GTN: Renewed Network Deals Will Still Lead To Multiple Compression

Analysts have raised their price targets on Gray Media, citing updated expectations for revenue growth of 1.91%, a profit margin of 7.15%, and a future P/E of 1.60 as key factors in their revised valuation. What's in the News Gray Media and NBC agreed to a multi year renewal that extends station affiliation agreements across all 54 NBC affiliated markets where Gray operates, covering more than 14 million households, or nearly 11% of U.S. TV homes, including cities such as Nashville, Louisville, Memphis, and Richmond (Key Developments).
Analysis Article • Jan 13

When Should You Buy Gray Media, Inc. (NYSE:GTN)?

Gray Media, Inc. ( NYSE:GTN ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement during...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Jan 09

GTN: Renewed Network Deals Will Not Prevent Future Multiple Compression

Analysts have adjusted their price target on Gray Media, citing updated expectations for a smaller revenue decline, a slightly higher discount rate, modestly improved profit margins, and a lower assumed future P/E multiple. What's in the News Gray Media and NBC entered a multi-year deal renewing station affiliation agreements across all 54 Gray owned and operated NBC stations, covering more than 14 million households, or nearly 11% of U.S. TV households, across markets such as Nashville, Louisville, Memphis, and Richmond (Key Developments).
User avatar
Narrative Update • Dec 15

GTN: Expanded Sports Broadcast Reach Will Support Stronger Future Earnings Multiple

Analysts have raised their price target on Gray Media by approximately 10 percent to reflect a higher fair value estimate of about 10 dollars per share, citing expectations for moderating revenue declines and a slightly richer future earnings multiple despite a marginally higher discount rate and a modestly lower profit margin outlook. What's in the News Gray Media, the Memphis Grizzlies, and FanDuel Sports Network renewed their partnership to simulcast seven upcoming Memphis NBA games this season across multiple markets.
Analysis Article • Nov 15

Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past Gray Media's (NYSE:GTN) Soft Earnings

Gray Media, Inc.'s ( NYSE:GTN ) stock was strong despite it releasing a soft earnings report last week. However, we...
Analysis Article • Nov 10

Gray Media's (NYSE:GTN) Dividend Will Be $0.08

Gray Media, Inc.'s ( NYSE:GTN ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.08 per share on 31st of December. Based on...
Analysis Article • Oct 10

Gray Media (NYSE:GTN) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article • Sep 08

Gray Media, Inc. (NYSE:GTN) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 48%

The Gray Media, Inc. ( NYSE:GTN ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 48...
User avatar
Narrative Update • Sep 05

Aggressive M&A Will Accelerate US Media Erosion

With both Net Profit Margin and Future P/E remaining stable, there were no material fundamental changes driving a revision, leaving Gray Media’s consensus analyst price target effectively unchanged at $6.08. What's in the News Gray Media partnered with Victory+ to simulcast 17 Dallas Stars NHL games across 15 television markets in Texas, Arkansas, and Louisiana, expanding access for hockey fans in outer markets.
Analysis Article • Aug 26

Gray Media (NYSE:GTN) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.08

The board of Gray Media, Inc. ( NYSE:GTN ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.08 per share on the 30th of...
Analysis Article • Aug 11

Gray Media (NYSE:GTN) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.08

Gray Media, Inc. ( NYSE:GTN ) will pay a dividend of $0.08 on the 30th of September. This makes the dividend yield...
Analysis Article • Jul 31

Should You Investigate Gray Media, Inc. (NYSE:GTN) At US$4.73?

Gray Media, Inc. ( NYSE:GTN ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a...
Analysis Article • Jul 05

Gray Media, Inc. (NYSE:GTN) Stock Catapults 35% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

The Gray Media, Inc. ( NYSE:GTN ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 35...
Analysis Article • May 15

Gray Media's (NYSE:GTN) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point

When companies post strong earnings, the stock generally performs well, just like Gray Media, Inc.'s ( NYSE:GTN ) stock...
Analysis Article • May 09

Gray Media, Inc. (NYSE:GTN) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 29%

Gray Media, Inc. ( NYSE:GTN ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting...

Shareholder Returns

GTNUS MediaUS Market
7D-8.5%-3.5%-0.2%
1Y-19.6%-34.9%11.9%

Return vs Industry: GTN exceeded the US Media industry which returned -34.9% over the past year.

Return vs Market: GTN underperformed the US Market which returned 11.9% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is GTN's price volatile compared to industry and market?
GTN volatility
GTN Average Weekly Movement9.9%
Media Industry Average Movement9.5%
Market Average Movement6.8%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market15.0%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market2.9%

Stable Share Price: GTN has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: GTN's weekly volatility (10%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
18919,374Hilton Howellgraymedia.com

Gray Media, Inc., a multimedia company, owns and/or operates local television stations and digital assets in the United States. The company operates through Broadcasting, Production Companies, and Other segments. It also owns Gray Digital Media, a digital agency that provides clients with digital marketing strategies; and operates video production companies and studio production facilities.

Gray Media, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Gray Media's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
GTN fundamental statistics
Market capUS$440.71m
Earnings (TTM)-US$58.00m
Revenue (TTM)US$3.15b
0.1x
P/S Ratio
-7.5x
P/E Ratio

Is GTN overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
GTN income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$3.15b
Cost of RevenueUS$2.33b
Gross ProfitUS$820.00m
Other ExpensesUS$878.00m
Earnings-US$58.00m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-0.59
Gross Margin26.05%
Net Profit Margin-1.84%
Debt/Equity Ratio212.9%

How did GTN perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

7.2%
Current Dividend Yield
-54%
Payout Ratio

Does GTN pay a reliable dividends?

See GTN dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy GTN by to receive an upcoming dividend?
Gray Media dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateSep 15 2026
Dividend Pay DateSep 30 2026
Days until Ex dividend5 days
Days until Dividend pay date10 days

Does GTN pay a reliable dividends?

See GTN dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/20 01:40
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/18 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Gray Media, Inc. is covered by 11 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Patrick ShollBarrington Research Associates, Inc.
Curry BakerGuggenheim Securities, LLC
Craig HuberHuber Research Partners, LLC

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