Entravision Communications Corporation's (NYSE:EVC) Shares Climb 29% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up
The Entravision Communications Corporation (NYSE:EVC) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 29%. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 13% is also fairly reasonable.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Entravision Communications' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Media industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
See our latest analysis for Entravision Communications
How Has Entravision Communications Performed Recently?
Entravision Communications has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. Those who are bullish on Entravision Communications will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Entravision Communications' earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Entravision Communications?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Entravision Communications' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 23% gain to the company's top line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 53% drop in revenue in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 1.0% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Entravision Communications is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Entravision Communications' P/S?
Entravision Communications' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
The fact that Entravision Communications currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Entravision Communications that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Entravision Communications, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.