Stock Analysis

Warner Music Group (NASDAQ:WMG) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital

NasdaqGS:WMG
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If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. With that in mind, we've noticed some promising trends at Warner Music Group (NASDAQ:WMG) so let's look a bit deeper.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Warner Music Group:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.15 = US$702m ÷ (US$8.1b - US$3.3b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

Thus, Warner Music Group has an ROCE of 15%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Entertainment industry average of 11% it's much better.

See our latest analysis for Warner Music Group

roce
NasdaqGS:WMG Return on Capital Employed May 2nd 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Warner Music Group compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

SWOT Analysis for Warner Music Group

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
  • Debt is well covered by earnings and cashflows.
  • Dividends are covered by earnings and cash flows.
Weakness
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Entertainment market.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the American market.
  • Current share price is below our estimate of fair value.
Threat
  • Revenue is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

The Trend Of ROCE

Warner Music Group is displaying some positive trends. The numbers show that in the last five years, the returns generated on capital employed have grown considerably to 15%. The amount of capital employed has increased too, by 32%. So we're very much inspired by what we're seeing at Warner Music Group thanks to its ability to profitably reinvest capital.

Another thing to note, Warner Music Group has a high ratio of current liabilities to total assets of 41%. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.

What We Can Learn From Warner Music Group's ROCE

All in all, it's terrific to see that Warner Music Group is reaping the rewards from prior investments and is growing its capital base. Considering the stock has delivered 4.5% to its stockholders over the last year, it may be fair to think that investors aren't fully aware of the promising trends yet. Given that, we'd look further into this stock in case it has more traits that could make it multiply in the long term.

If you'd like to know about the risks facing Warner Music Group, we've discovered 3 warning signs that you should be aware of.

While Warner Music Group isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Warner Music Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.