Stock Analysis

Market Cool On TrueCar, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TRUE) Revenues

NasdaqGS:TRUE
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There wouldn't be many who think TrueCar, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TRUE) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Interactive Media and Services industry in the United States is similar at about 1.6x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for TrueCar

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:TRUE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 8th 2023

How TrueCar Has Been Performing

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, TrueCar's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think TrueCar's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is TrueCar's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, TrueCar would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 26%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 53% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 16% per annum during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 10% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's curious that TrueCar's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What Does TrueCar's P/S Mean For Investors?

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, TrueCar's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for TrueCar that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of TrueCar's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether TrueCar is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.