Stock Analysis

MediaCo Holding (NASDAQ:MDIA) Will Be Looking To Turn Around Its Returns

NasdaqCM:MDIA
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When researching a stock for investment, what can tell us that the company is in decline? When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. Ultimately this means that the company is earning less per dollar invested and on top of that, it's shrinking its base of capital employed. So after we looked into MediaCo Holding (NASDAQ:MDIA), the trends above didn't look too great.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for MediaCo Holding, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.0087 = US$1.1m ÷ (US$143m - US$18m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).

Therefore, MediaCo Holding has an ROCE of 0.9%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Media industry average of 7.4%.

Our analysis indicates that MDIA is potentially undervalued!

roce
NasdaqCM:MDIA Return on Capital Employed October 11th 2022

While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of MediaCo Holding, check out these free graphs here.

The Trend Of ROCE

We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at MediaCo Holding. About three years ago, returns on capital were 7.0%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. On top of that, it's worth noting that the amount of capital employed within the business has remained relatively steady. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last three years. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect MediaCo Holding to turn into a multi-bagger.

The Bottom Line On MediaCo Holding's ROCE

All in all, the lower returns from the same amount of capital employed aren't exactly signs of a compounding machine. Unsurprisingly then, the stock has dived 78% over the last year, so investors are recognizing these changes and don't like the company's prospects. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.

One final note, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with MediaCo Holding (including 3 which are significant) .

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.