Stock Analysis

Lee Enterprises (NASDAQ:LEE) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

NasdaqGS:LEE
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Lee Enterprises, Incorporated (NASDAQ:LEE) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Lee Enterprises

What Is Lee Enterprises's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Lee Enterprises had US$454.2m of debt, at December 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$15.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$438.8m.

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NasdaqGS:LEE Debt to Equity History March 22nd 2024

How Strong Is Lee Enterprises' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Lee Enterprises had liabilities of US$112.6m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$567.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$15.4m and US$68.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$596.9m.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$84.2m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Lee Enterprises would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 1.4 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.1 hit our confidence in Lee Enterprises like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Even more troubling is the fact that Lee Enterprises actually let its EBIT decrease by 3.9% over the last year. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Lee Enterprises will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Lee Enterprises reported free cash flow worth 7.4% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

On the face of it, Lee Enterprises's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Lee Enterprises has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Lee Enterprises you should be aware of, and 2 of them make us uncomfortable.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.