Stock Analysis

Here's Why We're Watching Insignia Systems' (NASDAQ:ISIG) Cash Burn Situation

NasdaqCM:LDWY
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We can readily understand why investors are attracted to unprofitable companies. By way of example, Insignia Systems (NASDAQ:ISIG) has seen its share price rise 117% over the last year, delighting many shareholders. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

In light of its strong share price run, we think now is a good time to investigate how risky Insignia Systems' cash burn is. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

View our latest analysis for Insignia Systems

When Might Insignia Systems Run Out Of Money?

You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. In September 2021, Insignia Systems had US$3.6m in cash, and was debt-free. Importantly, its cash burn was US$3.3m over the trailing twelve months. Therefore, from September 2021 it had roughly 13 months of cash runway. While that cash runway isn't too concerning, sensible holders would be peering into the distance, and considering what happens if the company runs out of cash. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:ISIG Debt to Equity History December 7th 2021

How Well Is Insignia Systems Growing?

Insignia Systems boosted investment sharply in the last year, with cash burn ramping by 69%. That does give us pause, and we can't take much solace in the operating revenue growth of 9.3% in the same time frame. In light of the data above, we're fairly sanguine about the business growth trajectory. In reality, this article only makes a short study of the company's growth data. This graph of historic earnings and revenue shows how Insignia Systems is building its business over time.

Can Insignia Systems Raise More Cash Easily?

Given the trajectory of Insignia Systems' cash burn, many investors will already be thinking about how it might raise more cash in the future. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Insignia Systems' cash burn of US$3.3m is about 13% of its US$27m market capitalisation. Given that situation, it's fair to say the company wouldn't have much trouble raising more cash for growth, but shareholders would be somewhat diluted.

How Risky Is Insignia Systems' Cash Burn Situation?

Even though its increasing cash burn makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Insignia Systems' cash burn relative to its market cap was relatively promising. Even though we don't think it has a problem with its cash burn, the analysis we've done in this article does suggest that shareholders should give some careful thought to the potential cost of raising more money in the future. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 4 warning signs for Insignia Systems (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course Insignia Systems may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.