Stock Analysis

The Bull Case For Alphabet (GOOGL) Could Change Following $4B AI Data Center Plan in Arkansas

  • Alphabet has unveiled plans to invest US$4 billion in a new AI-focused data center campus in West Memphis, Arkansas, which will involve energy partnerships, workforce development, and a US$25 million energy impact fund to benefit local residents.
  • This infrastructure initiative highlights Alphabet's response to rising demand for AI and cloud services while reinforcing its leadership in large-scale data and energy projects.
  • We'll explore how this major investment in AI infrastructure could influence Alphabet's long-term growth and shift its investment narrative.

These 13 companies survived and thrived after COVID and have the right ingredients to survive Trump's tariffs. Discover why before your portfolio feels the trade war pinch.

Alphabet Investment Narrative Recap

To own shares in Alphabet, you need to believe the company can transform massive AI and cloud investments into sustainable revenue and earnings growth, despite its dependence on advertising. The newly confirmed plan to spin off Verily marks a step toward streamlining operations but does not materially alter the company’s current catalysts, ongoing AI monetization via Cloud and Search, or its biggest risk, which remains the execution on high capital expenditures amid fierce competition.

Amid these structural changes, Alphabet’s collaboration with Keeper Security to integrate real-time threat detection into Google Security Operations underscores its focus on AI-powered enterprise solutions. This innovation is particularly relevant to Alphabet’s cloud growth catalyst, suggesting continued expansion into high-value business services can help offset risks in consumer advertising.

Yet in contrast to these growth drivers, investors should be aware that increased legal and regulatory scrutiny could still force Alphabet to…

Read the full narrative on Alphabet (it's free!)

Alphabet's outlook forecasts $512.6 billion in revenue and $148.4 billion in earnings by 2028. This is based on an annual revenue growth rate of 11.3% and reflects an earnings increase of $32.8 billion from current earnings of $115.6 billion.

Uncover how Alphabet's forecasts yield a $241.59 fair value, in line with its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

GOOGL Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
GOOGL Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Over 200 fair value assessments from the Simply Wall St Community cluster between US$165.53 and US$291.20 per share, showing a wide spectrum of investor expectations. Alongside this, high capital expenditures still pose tough questions for Alphabet’s future returns, inviting you to examine several alternative perspectives.

Explore 210 other fair value estimates on Alphabet - why the stock might be worth as much as 19% more than the current price!

Build Your Own Alphabet Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your Alphabet research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free Alphabet research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Alphabet's overall financial health at a glance.

Curious About Other Options?

Opportunities like this don't last. These are today's most promising picks. Check them out now:

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Mobile Infrastructure for Defense and Disaster

The next wave in robotics isn't humanoid. Its fully autonomous towers delivering 5G, ISR, and radar in under 30 minutes, anywhere.

Get the investor briefing before the next round of contracts

Sponsored On Behalf of CiTech

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

About NasdaqGS:GOOGL

Alphabet

Offers various products and platforms in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, Canada, and Latin America.

Outstanding track record with excellent balance sheet.

Weekly Picks

AL
RKLB logo
AlexLovell on Rocket Lab ·

Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale

Fair Value:US$16.25334.0% overvalued
40 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
14 users have liked this narrative
AG
Agricola
EXN logo
Agricola on Excellon Resources ·

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

Fair Value:CA$31.898.5% undervalued
47 users have followed this narrative
7 users have commented on this narrative
15 users have liked this narrative
FU
FundamentallySarcastic
CCP logo
FundamentallySarcastic on Credit Corp Group ·

Moderation and Stabilisation: HOLD: Fair Price based on a 4-year Cycle is $12.08

Fair Value:AU$12.6412.1% overvalued
7 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

YI
ABNB logo
yiannisz on Airbnb ·

Airbnb Stock: Platform Growth in a World of Saturation and Scrutiny

Fair Value:US$159.715.3% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
YI
ADBE logo
yiannisz on Adobe ·

Adobe Stock: AI-Fueled ARR Growth Pushes Guidance Higher, But Cost Pressures Loom

Fair Value:US$391.259.0% undervalued
7 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
2 users have liked this narrative
YI
TRI logo
yiannisz on Thomson Reuters ·

Thomson Reuters Stock: When Legal Intelligence Becomes Mission-Critical Infrastructure

Fair Value:CA$201.979.9% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8686.4% undervalued
82 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
23 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3927.7% undervalued
978 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
26 users have liked this narrative
RO
RobertoAllende
NVDA logo
RobertoAllende on NVIDIA ·

The AI Infrastructure Giant Grows Into Its Valuation

Fair Value:US$345.0747.5% undervalued
43 users have followed this narrative
28 users have commented on this narrative
24 users have liked this narrative