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Little Excitement Around GDEV Inc.'s (NASDAQ:GDEV) Earnings As Shares Take 35% Pounding
The GDEV Inc. (NASDAQ:GDEV) share price has softened a substantial 35% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 18% in that time.
Following the heavy fall in price, given about half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may consider GDEV as a highly attractive investment with its 8.8x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, GDEV has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for GDEV
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, GDEV would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 12%. However, due to its less than impressive performance prior to this period, EPS growth is practically non-existent over the last three years overall. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 4.6% as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 15% growth , that's a disappointing outcome.
In light of this, it's understandable that GDEV's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
The Bottom Line On GDEV's P/E
Shares in GDEV have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of GDEV's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for GDEV that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on GDEV, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGM:GDEV
GDEV
Develops and publishes online games in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally.
Proven track record with mediocre balance sheet.
Market Insights
Weekly Picks
Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

Moderation and Stabilisation: HOLD: Fair Price based on a 4-year Cycle is $12.08
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